WW XCVI - The Fell Winter of 2911

[Nerwen]

Zilanalysis

#4. IC banter.

#16. Agrees with Kath that the Cobbler is particularly dangerous. Disagrees with Pitch that Menel's "obvious" advice on wolf-catching is particularly suspicious (using the phrase "I don't see that" –a possible hint?). Approves of Pitch being vocal, however. Points out that the cobbler needs to avoid Night-kills– this was a response to the exchange between Kath (#11), Agan (#12)and Pitch (#13). In context, it doesn't seem a particularly "Captain Obvious" statement at all– which is interesting since later it became something of an issue.


#32. IC banter. Responds to G55's and my own comments about Menel (#25, #26):

Originally Posted by Zil

Menel has merited a comment for his words, but more than one person homing in on it at once puts one in mind of a pack of salivating beasts eyeing some raw meat.

Tells G55 (again in response to #26) that he recalls Agan calling the Cobbler "she" before.


#39. Accepts my pointing out (#33) that G55 and my posts commenting on Menel's "obviousness" actually crossed. Accepts Menel's clarification at #38.


#55. (responding to Legate):

Hmm. G55 may indeed have not noticed that habit of Agan's before, or she may have forgotten it. If anything strikes me about G55, it's the questioning of Agan combined with what appears to be a piling on to what Pitch started about Menel.

Further comments that "The whole thing about Menel looks like the beginning stirrings of a bandwagon."

Disagrees with Pitch that Kath's question at #19 is suspicious. Is somewhat wary of Pitch.

Responding to Shasta at #53, says he too is "rather bothered" by G55, and may vote her.

Also in response to Shasta, who asks why those who "pounced" on Menel for "stating the obvious" didn't do the same to Zil (see #16.), says, "I don't know either. Are you trying to incite them to do so?"


#56. Vote-post.

Originally Posted by Zil

Ok. It's bedtime, and with the morning madness that is my weekday routine, I may or may not make back before DL.

I guess I can see Pitch's point on Nog, and it's tempting to follow Pitch's lead there. However, I think that in the totality of circumstance, G55 looks worse.

++G55

Choose well.

Conclusion: Well, it certainly looks pretty straightforward: his dream was most likely either G55 (wolf) or Menel (innocent). The good news is that it could not have been Pitch, since he is somewhat suspicious of him.

The voting-pattern yesterDay also strongly suggests G55 might be a wolf, rescued from the gallows by her comrades. (However, we should bear in mind that, by definition, this would be a perfect framing-opportunity.)

EDIT:X'd with Nogrod.; edit 2: typo.