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#1 |
Everlasting Whiteness
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Day 1:
Interesting things: Lommy - began the 'should the Maniac reveal' discussion. Definitely an interesting idea that merited a lot of discussion. Shares Greenie's odd feeling about sally. Legate - I still don't follow how the Maniac revealing would have ended up with a guaranteed Day 2 wolf lynch. Would appreciated more clarity here. Shares Greenie's odd feeling about sally but says this was gut, writes pretty much the opposite in his next post and clears her. Nogrod - said Nerwen was overly happy to start with. This struck me as odd as he didn't mention Lommy's first post where she quite literally squealed with joy! Also suspicious of Lottie and Kitanna for almost pushing the hype of their own poor history. Shasta - doesn't like Lommy and Legate's discussion of maniac lynching, and doesn't like Kitanna ignoring what the mod said about them. Boro - makes the first halfway useful post of the game (discussing the maniac) even though his understanding of the role was very different to mine! But then Inzil only clarified later. Unhappy with Lommy pushing for reveals. Votes: Greenie --> sally ~ For non-committal commenting (later explained by sally to my satisfaction) Legate --> Boro ~ For uneasiness and because he might be able to defend himself. Lommy --> sally ~ Presumably based on the previous odd feeling from the post. Nog --> Kitanna ~ For being around but not contributing. Lottie --> Legate ~ Bad feeling. Cop --> Legate ~ Disliking the later elements of his scenarios. Nerwen --> Kitanna ~ Potentially pushing for the maniac to join the wolves. Kitanna --> Legate ~ Pushing sally and then voting Boro (this vote puts herself and sally clear of the lynch) sally --> Legate ~ Choosing between Kitanna and Legate Now what is the rule on double lynching in this game? Because this could be rather important given that, had sally chosen Kitanna there, we would have had that scenario. Going on to toDay.
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“If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world.” |
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#2 |
Everlasting Whiteness
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Greenie's death:
Post 1: Found sally unsettling (I still think this was clearly explained afterwards). Feels that Kitanna posted substance even though she didn't really. Pleased that Boro is on topic. Confused by Legate. Little to say on anyone else. Post 2 : Offers defence of Nerwen. Ah, I think this post might hold the key. She talks about how to impersonate a maniac, because of course they would want to be Night killed to best help the village. Maybe the wolves were playing the odds. Lose a wolf but get rid of the maniac now. Or hoping for a bluff. Post 3: Continued discussion of the maniac. Post 4: Continued discussion, but also decides Lommy looks innocent. Post 5: Also confused by Legate! Votes sally for her earlier suspicion. Well then. Nerwen and Lommy are the names that came up here so keep an eye on them toDay I suppose.
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“If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world.” |
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#3 |
Everlasting Whiteness
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Day 2:
Cop - feels Greenie was a trailless kill. Could be, though I think the maniac discussion was probably involved. Doesn't see anything suspicious about the votes, but immediately follows with being most likely to vote sally with no explanation. Feels Kitanna and Nerwen wouldn't have shown such clear unhappiness with sally having votes if they were her packmates - fair. Votes sally for: Sally: Her reasoning on Day 1 seemed fine to me, and nothing pinged me about her tone. But, if Greenie was killed because of sounding Seerish, what she said about Sally looks the most likely. I disagree with Lommy; I don't think Greenie's wording was clear about exonerating Boro. Hmm. Lommy - thinks Greenie's tone may have suggested giftedness, thus the kill. Then finds suggestions the wolves may have thought her the Seer, with fair reasoning. Also reached the conclusion that sally is an interesting kettle of fish. Feels it would be unlikely for sally and Nerwen to both be wolves. But doesn't like the odd trio of sally, Nerwen and Kitanna that is circling toDay. Boro - thinks Nerwen's question about how sally got 2 votes was odd, rather clearing sally in opposition to Lommy's suspicion. Doesn't like Nog's vote as he doesn't get the reasoning. I see where Nog got the reasoning from, so this didn't strike me as oddly as it does Boro. Offers a theory that Lottie knew the three names in the voting were innocent as she didn't want to add votes to them. Says Kitanna and sally voted in the interest of self preservation. And yes, they did, but neither of them made that clear which was odd. Votes Lottie based on his earlier reasoning. Lottie - thinks Greenie was just a safe kill. Kitanna - thinks Lottie, Lommy, sally and Cop had suspicious votes. Ends up only mildly suspicious of sally. Feels Lottie is too careful. Nerwen - suddenly defensive. Nog - says Kitanna's suspicion of those who suspect sally makes sally look suspicious. Thinks Nerwen's defence of sally is too bold for wolf on wolf. Right. Checking over any extra posts, reading my own words, then voting.
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“If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world.” |
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#4 |
Everlasting Whiteness
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Also Nog - it's always going to be lots of posts in a rush from me so just hang in there!
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“If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world.” |
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#5 |
Everlasting Whiteness
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From yesterDay, I think Kitanna and sally's votes are suspicious. They are both clearly self preservation votes and this is acceptable as an innocent, and understandable as a wolf. What I find odd is that neither of them actually admitted to that.
![]() That Nog changed his suspicions through the Day made me feel happier about my early wonderings about him. From my look at Greenie I think Lommy and Nerwen bear watching, but neither has leapt out as suspicious toDay to me. Would really still like to know about double lynches as I feel that would have had a strong influence yesterDay on sally and Kitanna's voting. And I rather feel that lynching sally or Kitanna would give more information here as a result. There are already votes for Lottie and sally, so I will add the third name to the mix. ++Kitanna
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“If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world.” |
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#6 | ||
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#7 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Which is something I haven't really considered - it suddenly makes it a lot less risky for wolf-on-wolf voting in the last minutes if the situation is even enough and the voted wolf hasn't still voted herself. I might or might not be talking about Nerwen and Sally.
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#8 |
Child of the West
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Watching President Fillmore ride a unicorn
Posts: 2,132
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I missed a lot of posts while rereading the thread for my long post at the end of the day. I didn't realize it was a vote of self-preservation at the time. Not that changes anything. I still would have voted Legate since I wasn't convinced of Sally's guilt.
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"Let us live so that when we come to die even the undertaker will be sorry." - Mark Twain |
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#9 | ||
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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edit: xed with Kitanna and Kath... hmm.
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#10 |
Shade of Carn Dûm
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 344
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D1 votes:
Greenie-innocent --> Sally (1) Legate-innocent --> Boro (1) Lommy --> Sally (2) Nog --> Kitanna (1) Boro --> Lommy (1) Lottie-innocent --> Legate-innocent (1) Cop --> Legate-innocent (2) Nerwen --> Kitanna (2) Kitanna --> Legate-innocent (3) Sally --> Legate-innocent (4) Non-voters: Kath, Shasta D2 votes: Cop --> Sally (1) Boro --> Lottie-innocent (1) Kath --> Kitanna (1) Lommy --> Sally (2) Nog-innocent --> Sally (3) Kitanna --> Nog-innocent (1) Lottie-innocent --> Nog-innocent (2) Shasta --> Kitanna (2) Sally --> Nog-innocent (3) Nerwen --> Nog-innocent (4) (late) Non-voters: nobody. Right, I'll start by looking at just the votes without context, then I'll go and read what happened yesterDay in more detail. The pattern of the days has gone similarly, with a cluster of scattered first votes within which Sally is the only one to get a second vote at first, at the tail end of which a single vote is cast for the person who will eventually get lynched, followed by a second vote for that person and a second vote for Kitanna, then two more votes for the person who gets lynched. On Day 1, the one who cast the vote that got Legate lynched was Kitanna, and at the time she was in danger from a three way tie between her, Sally and Legate. To save herself, she had to break the tie, and chose Legate over Sally. On Day 2, the one who cast the vote that got Nog lynched was Sally. To attempt to save herself by creating a tie, her options were Kitanna and Nog, and she chose Nog over Kitanna. The only person who has voted for the same person twice was Lommy. So the overall pattern has been so similar on both days that unless Sally and Kitanna are both wolves, which at a guess is unlikely, I'm not sure what can be learned from it divorced of context. It would be interesting to look back over some past games to see if the same pattern gets repeated often. And...I see as I write this that Kitanna's just revealed as a possible Maniac. Edit: crossed since Nerwen at #162. |
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#11 | |
Wisest of the Noldor
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#12 | |
Shade of Carn Dûm
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 344
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#13 |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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It's entirely possible that I missed something, but I was under the impression that the Maniac didn't know they were the Maniac. Am I wrong here?
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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#14 | |
Wisest of the Noldor
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In other news, I should have said we’re now 6:3, not 5:3– I was leaving myself out and thinking there were only eight players left. But it would still make it 4:3 toNight if Maniac Kit were to take any innocent with her, and certain defeat if that innocent were the Ranger. Those aren’t great odds. EDIT: No, we’re 5:3, and there are only eight players– I’d been looking at the Day 3 list instead of Night 3. So back to: *any* innocent killed is fatal.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. Last edited by Nerwen; 06-05-2014 at 04:28 AM. |
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#15 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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The Kit Situation
We are now 5:3. 1. Kit is a wolf and we lynch her. We will be 5:2 toNight. The real Maniac and Ranger will be still alive. 1. a.) The Ranger makes a save toNight. We are still 5:2 toMorrow. 1. b.) The Ranger fails the save. We are 4:2 toMorrow. 1. c.) The real Maniac (having kept quiet) is Night-killed, taking down a wolf. We are 4:1 toMorrow. 2. Kit is the Maniac and we lynch her. 1. a) She takes down a wolf. We are 4:2 toNight. 1. b) She takes down an innocent. We are 3:3 toNight, thus dead. EDIT:fixed numbers.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. Last edited by Nerwen; 06-05-2014 at 04:23 AM. |
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#16 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Innocentish
Shasta - well he still needs to contribute and I really hate to use this kind of an argument, but I think he'd be more involved if he was a wolf. Nogrod - I was a bit wary of him yesterDay but he seems better toDay, possibly because I can relate to his frustration about people being so quiet. Kath - she's always a hard one to read early on, but I'm not too worried atm. Copper - somehow manages to be under my radar. I don't like that, but I'm not particularily suspicious either. Suspiciousish Nerwen - well I don't like this whole Nerwen-Sally-Kitanna business, and Nerwen's floating around in the voting last night looks a bit fishy. Sally - I keep flip-flopping on her, like whether I'm paranoid in thinking she acts like wolf!Sally or not, but I'm leaning guilty. Kitanna - is quite defensive, and her interactions with the people mentioned above are fishy; there must be something going on with this trio. Still, Kitanna is probably the least suspicious of the three. Lottie - I think I might just suspect here because others do so too, though. Boro - something about him rubs me the wrong way. I mean, I agree with a lot of what he says, but since I suspect Sally and/or Nerwen it made me raise my eyebrows quite a bit that he suspected them quite vocally and then ended up voting Lottie. I don't know if I've developed some homicidal tendencies, but I really wouldn't mind lynching anyone from the latter category. My preference would be one of Sally, Nerwen or Kitanna though, because my brain has kind of concentrated around them toDay and I feel like knowing one of their role might shed some light on the others.
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#17 | |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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![]() This game started right as I started moving out of one apartment and into another, plus an incredibly long week of work. DL for me is at 9 PM - I work from 12 AM to 8 AM and sleep right after that until about 4 PM, giving me 5-ish hours that I could split between moving and Werewolf. I just haven't had time to be here, innocent or wolf. However, I'm all moved in now and I'm coming up on days off, so I'll be able to contribute more after the next hour or so. I'll (hopefully) have some content up before DL tonight, but I'll understand if you guys feel it would be better to modkill/replace me. On a related note, Sally is busy today as well - she texted me and asked me to mention it (I just haven't been awake before now.)
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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