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Old 06-04-2014, 08:00 PM   #1
Inziladun
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Inziladun is a guest of Galadriel in Lothlórien.Inziladun is a guest of Galadriel in Lothlórien.Inziladun is a guest of Galadriel in Lothlórien.Inziladun is a guest of Galadriel in Lothlórien.Inziladun is a guest of Galadriel in Lothlórien.
As Loslote lay down for sleep, tired and discouraged at the lack of progress in finding those bent on exercising their mischievous will on the others, she absent-mindedly took out a box of her favorite breath mints and shook a few out. As she popped them into her mouth, she had no memory of having that box out earlier at dinner, and she had not seen someone casually shaking into it a drop or two from a small vial. Before she knew what was happening, Loslote fell victim to an unnatural slumber.
When she was found the following morning, her companions sadly shook their heads. There was nothing to do but leave her as she was, and hope for the best.

The "Living"
Nerwen
Sally
Coppermirror
Kitanna
Lommy
Shasta
Kath
Boro

The "Dead"
Professor Inzil
Legate (Ordo)
Greenie (Ordo)
Nogrod (Ordo)
Loslote (Ordo)

IT IS DAY 3.
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Old 06-04-2014, 08:27 PM   #2
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I put a lot of thought into this and I'm pretty sure I'm going to die today given how horribly, horribly wrong I was about Nog. And I would very much like to do that on my terms.

That said. I really thought Nog was guilty. I really hoped it was true because I really wanted to be attacked in the night and get two wolves by today. That didn't happen. So I'm proposing two options for today.

1) Everyone vote for me. I take down a random voter in the event of my death, there's a chance I could bring down a wolf when I do.
The downside to this plan is that I could also bring down the ranger or the seer. So it's very risky, seeing as the village has been lucky enough to have both still alive.

2) For those who believe me when I say I'm the maniac, you let me survive as a known innocent.
The downside to this is I have a terrible track record this game of catching a wolf. So, yes you have a known innocent that the wolves wouldn't off in the night, but the best I can do as a known innocent is offer an opinion that may or may not lead to a wolf.

For those who think I am just a wolf false revealing and I am lynched today, well I suppose option one still stands. And if a wolf false reveals and is believed over me then at least the village gets a wolf tomorrow.

I don't want to be killed without giving the village the option of believing me and deciding if I'm a better asset alive or dead. It is 5-3. I obviously can't take down myself when I die, so it's really 4-3. The odds of me getting a wolf randomly aren't too much worse than me getting an innocent, bur again two of those four are gifted. Do with this information as you chose.

I am about to shut down for the night, but I will end with my suspicions.

I was wrong about Nog, so I'm probably wrong about Sally. Before I saw Lottie was dead I thought she could well be a wolf too, but once again, terribly wrong.

I think Lommy is a wolf, a wolf latching onto Nog, buddying up to him. I'll have to reread D2's posts to be sure, but I feel like she's a wolf.

Sally, I am always wrong about Sally. I still think the frame job could be possible, but since Nog died innocent I think it is way more likely Sally is a wolf.

I'm a bit torn on the last possible wolf.

There's been some off putting things I've seen of both Boro and Cop. I have no real read on Nerwen, Kath, or Shasta. Based on Shasta's vote yesterday I think he may be innocent, but once again I'll be looking over it before work tomorrow.
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Old 06-04-2014, 08:38 PM   #3
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Okay. In what will no doubt seem a complete about-face, I am going to state that this time I do think Lottie was probably killed as a suspected “Seer”. I believe what I said yesterDay was misunderstood: I don’t mean wolves don’t *want* to get the Seer on Night Two, but in practice they often haven’t much of a clue at that point, while by Night Three they can usually make a much better guess.

Lottiealysis to follow.

EDIT: X’d with Kit.
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Old 06-04-2014, 08:54 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kit, pleading insanity
1) Everyone vote for me. I take down a random voter in the event of my death, there's a chance I could bring down a wolf when I do.
The downside to this plan is that I could also bring down the ranger or the seer. So it's very risky, seeing as the village has been lucky enough to have both still alive.
??? We're 5:3. The maniac bringing down any innocent toDay would make it 3:3! It wouldn’t matter whether it was a gifted or not.
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Old 06-04-2014, 08:56 PM   #5
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??? We're 5:3. The maniac bringing down any innocent toDay would make it 3:3! It wouldn’t matter whether it was a gifted or not.
Oh fudge. This is why I didn't major in math. :/
I am just a hot mess this game.
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Old 06-05-2014, 02:24 AM   #6
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Thinlómien is wading through the Dead Marshes.Thinlómien is wading through the Dead Marshes.Thinlómien is wading through the Dead Marshes.Thinlómien is wading through the Dead Marshes.Thinlómien is wading through the Dead Marshes.Thinlómien is wading through the Dead Marshes.
I believe Kitanna. Unless there is a counter-reveal, it makes sense to assume she's telling the truth. Even if she was a wolf, there would be two more wolves out there for us to lynch toDay. We should absolutely NOT lynch a person who is very likely to be a maniac because that can have catastrophic consequences.
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Old 06-05-2014, 10:42 AM   #7
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Boromir88 is wading through the Dead Marshes.Boromir88 is wading through the Dead Marshes.Boromir88 is wading through the Dead Marshes.Boromir88 is wading through the Dead Marshes.Boromir88 is wading through the Dead Marshes.Boromir88 is wading through the Dead Marshes.
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I don't have anymore time to be of more use today. All I can say is even if there are counter reveals to Lommy and Kit I would bet their fake. Based on how the lynches and days have gone, if Lommy and/or Kit were wolves there is no reason or need they would try this scheme to false reveal at the start of the day.

++Nerwen
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Old 06-05-2014, 07:10 PM   #8
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Back and reading.
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Old 06-05-2014, 08:00 PM   #9
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After the discouraging time the group had spent thus far atop the lonely windswept peak, this day had possibly brought some good news.
Kitanna had initially startled them by saying she was a maniac.
'Not dangerous. Well maybe a little. Actually, mostly harmless,' she was quick to add. 'I just get carried away sometimes.'

But that had nearly been forgotten when Lommy had announced she had been having dreams involving them all.
'I know two who are innocent,' she said. 'Shasta for one, and Kitanna really is a maniac, but she hasn't been doing anything to anyone. However, I know Nerwen is one of these awful people trying to take us out!'

It was recalled that Professor Inzil's notes on RADAGAST had mentioned that those with evil thoughts had become dogs. Now they would see.

Protesting only mildly, Nerwen was forced into the machine. A press of a button, and eager eyes awaited the result.
There, on the floor, was indeed a dog.

The "Living"
Sally
Coppermirror
Kitanna
Lommy
Shasta
Kath
Boro

The "Dead"
Professor Inzil
Legate (Ordo)
Greenie (Ordo)
Nogrod (Ordo)
Loslote (Ordo)
Nerwen (Moviephile)

IT IS NIGHT 4.

Dreamer, Guardian, and Moviephiles get busy.
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Old 06-06-2014, 08:00 PM   #10
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The dark skies above the facility were fitfully illuminated by the bright, full moon peeking through breaks in the high clouds.
Inside, most of the trapped inhabitants lay fitfully sleeping. Three of their number did not sleep.
Two figures walked silently, purposefully toward their intended target, one with a small vial of liquid in hand. They did not feel the eyes upon them, straining to keep them in sight through the shadow, nor did they notice footfalls behind them at a respectful distance.
As they reached their victim they stopped short, savoring the moment. The vial was opened, a hand began to tip it.
Suddenly, a silver ball flashed through the air and struck the back of the second figure. A stifled cry of surprise was voiced, and the first quickly secured the vial. Both ran off into the darkness.
The firer of the ball nodded in approval at the way the improvised slingshot had worked. It was amazing what one could do with a paper clip, a rubber band, and a ball bearing.
Heading back to bed, two of the group were bitterly disappointed, another quite satisfied.

The "Living"
Sally
Coppermirror
Kitanna
Lommy
Shasta
Kath
Boro

The "Dead"
Professor Inzil
Legate (Ordo)
Greenie (Ordo)
Nogrod (Ordo)
Loslote (Ordo)
Nerwen (Moviephile)


IT IS DAY 4
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Old 06-07-2014, 05:09 AM   #11
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Thinlómien is wading through the Dead Marshes.Thinlómien is wading through the Dead Marshes.Thinlómien is wading through the Dead Marshes.Thinlómien is wading through the Dead Marshes.Thinlómien is wading through the Dead Marshes.Thinlómien is wading through the Dead Marshes.
*waves at everyone* I'm still here!

And no discussion before I appear, because the wolves don't want to incriminate themselves by blaming soon-to-be revealed innocents or buddying up with soon-to-be revealed wolves.

Guess what people? I think I'm going to leave you in the darkness for a little while longer. Anyone who wants to prove their innocence, I encourage you to talk. You have nothing to fear if you're not a wolf.

(I understand the quietness toDay and yesterDay, because a revealed seer doesn't encourage much talk, but all in all it's been a disappointingly quiet village. Next time we're not lynching Legate on Day1 and Nogrod on Day2. Just sayin'. )

(Also, unrelatedly, I really want to laugh at myself in this game. I might have done my seering well, but my argumentation has had gaping holes. On Day1, I suggested the maniac reveal herself, totally forgetting that it means the maniac cannot Night-kill a wolf. YesterDay, I said my reveal being fake would only make sense if we were fellow wolves with Nerwen, totally forgetting that the real seer would still exist and be able to contest my claim. Not really my game, logic wise. )

I will be more or less around (meaning, checking the thread at least say every two hours) until as close to the DL as I feel like staying up. If you need a talking prompt, please tell me who do you think like a likely mate for Nerwen, for example.
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Old 06-07-2014, 07:43 AM   #12
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*waves at everyone*
*waves back*

*fades into darkness*




PS: you know I had to at some point in the game.
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Old 06-07-2014, 07:31 PM   #13
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Here and reading. Though aren't many posts to get through.
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Old 06-09-2014, 07:09 PM   #14
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I'm back, sorry about the delay. But at least I don't need to worry about accidentally voting for in innocent toDay: I'm the real Guardian.

Which means I can be very sure in placing my vote for

++Kath

Last edited by Coppermirror; 06-09-2014 at 07:10 PM. Reason: putting vote on a separate line
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Old 06-07-2014, 09:57 AM   #15
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Ooh no I'm wrong! Shasta was also cleared by Lommy-Seer.

So it's just Boro, Cop and sally.
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Old 06-07-2014, 09:58 AM   #16
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And two out of those three are wolves! Well that's better odds!
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Old 06-05-2014, 07:40 PM   #17
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It doesn't look as if Shasta's been back since Lommy's seer-reveal, so there's a chance that he could be the Seer, but it's unlikely: a Lommy wolf would have had to be taking an insane risk that he wouldn't happen to come by, unless she knew something about his schedule. Plus, this sort of plan from the wolves on a day with a 5:3 count doesn't make sense. If it turns out to be some sort of amazing gambit from Lommy and Kitanna, and Nerwen at #196 is a peeved innocent trying to add suspense, I'll be very impressed.

So the remaining wolves are two of Boro, Kath, and Sally. Boro and Sally have at least posted a reasonable amount. Kath, not so much.

It looks as if my vote isn't needed, but I'll still place it.

++Nerwen
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