Tol-in-Guarhoth CIX - Ten Year Anniversary Game: Dead Thread - The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum

the phantom · 06-04-2015, 02:34 PM

Okay, so I have to ask- who are your Seer suspects?

Fact is, since Agan is one of the only sensible possibilities at the moment, how can we justify putting her under the gun.

In this game format everything is an absolute mess.
1) You can't tell if you've lynched a Wolf.
2) You can't tell if a Wolf was night killed.
3) Wolf-on-Wolf means nothing because there are separate packs, therefore voting is less telling than usual.
4) Wolves can't tell if someone looks Seerish because they don't know who all the Wolves are, thus night kill choices aren't as telling as usual.

The fact is, the double-dream Seer is BY FAR the best (maybe the only) thing the village has going for it in terms of making rational decisions, thus our top priority early in the game is NOT lynching WWs, but rather our highest calling is avoiding lynching possible Seers.

So even if Agan is 75% likely to be a WW, I still wouldn't kill her if she is 25% likely to be the Seer.

06-04-2015, 02:34 PM	#11
the phantom Beloved Shadow Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: The Stadium Posts: 5,971	Okay, so I have to ask- who are your Seer suspects? Fact is, since Agan is one of the only sensible possibilities at the moment, how can we justify putting her under the gun. In this game format everything is an absolute mess. 1) You can't tell if you've lynched a Wolf. 2) You can't tell if a Wolf was night killed. 3) Wolf-on-Wolf means nothing because there are separate packs, therefore voting is less telling than usual. 4) Wolves can't tell if someone looks Seerish because they don't know who all the Wolves are, thus night kill choices aren't as telling as usual. The fact is, the double-dream Seer is BY FAR the best (maybe the only) thing the village has going for it in terms of making rational decisions, thus our top priority early in the game is NOT lynching WWs, but rather our highest calling is avoiding lynching possible Seers. So even if Agan is 75% likely to be a WW, I still wouldn't kill her if she is 25% likely to be the Seer. __________________ the phantom has posted. This thread is now important.