Tol-in-Guarhoth CIX - Ten Year Anniversary Game: Dead Thread - The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum

the phantom · 06-10-2015, 05:48 PM

Right- three known Wolves could mess things up. Technically cannot count on either Rikae or Nog.

Firefoot and I WILL be here at the finish. Nilp will be (or I will be very cross with him). That gives us three. Then we need either Legate or Agan to give us knowns equaling unknowns (and the innocent of Rikae/Nog will swing it our way).

(xpost: didn't see Nog vote)

Nogrod · 06-10-2015, 05:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the phantom

Right- three known Wolves could mess things up. Technically cannot count on either Rikae or Nog.

Well you can count on me. I already voted - and am going to bed.

My last question just is: do you want another vote for Lommy or not?

the phantom · 06-10-2015, 05:51 PM

Okay, so, if both Nog and Green go for Lommy and we are desperate to change it at the finish.

Worst case: Mac-Lal-Lottie-Rikae pile on to give Lommy 6. Firefoot, Nilp, Agan, Legate, and I cannot overcome them.

Nogrod · 06-10-2015, 05:52 PM

And another question: are you really sure you want to put getting the message through in doubt for a possibility there is a tie in the living thread?

There could be, yes, but how probable is that with only two or three wolves left there (and not necessary on the same side)?

Aganzir · 06-10-2015, 05:54 PM

How about Greenie votes for Form?

That way there's 1 for Lommy and 1 for Form now, and (hopefully) 4 innocents and max 3 (2 most likely though - Lalaith didn't vote yesterday either) wolves.

Aganzir · 06-10-2015, 05:55 PM

Nog - that way there will be a message. Obviously Lommy is preferable to morm as she's innocent and would kind of convey information about two wolves, but I prefer a lynch to a no lynch in any case.

the phantom · 06-10-2015, 05:56 PM

What if Green left a vote for one of the other truthful info candidates (like Form)? Then the Baddies wouldn't have a double-vote to pile onto, just a single. Thus worst case scenario they could swing five votes, whereas Firefoot, Nilp, Phantom, Legate, Agan, could outweigh them by dumping onto the other single vote.

But that would require Agan-Legate of course. Is there someone else alive I'm forgetting? Bah.

(x-post: never mind, Greenie already voted, fingers crossed)

Nilpaurion Felagund · 06-10-2015, 07:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thinlómien

*pats Boro on the head* Nice pet bear, good boy. Want more cookies or raw meat now? We are nice little innocent villagers, the wolves are nasty.

A penguin taming a bear sounds like something from a Disney movie.

Also, my love is being smart and dangling McCaber and Boro in front of the Wolves. Such wanton disregard for the welfare of others. <3

Aganzir · 06-10-2015, 05:50 PM

LIVING:

Formendacil
satansaloser2005
McCaber
Boromir88
Thinlómien
Eomer of the Rohirrim
mormegil
Shastanis Althreduin
Mithalwen
Kath

Three wolves there, is my guess - both packs still represented. If there's no lynch today but two kills tonight, the village may be at 5-3 tomorrow. Which is not good, even if the 3 are in different packs.

Nogrod · 06-10-2015, 05:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aganzir

Three wolves there, is my guess - both packs still represented. If there's no lynch today but two kills tonight, the village may be at 5-3 tomorrow. Which is not good, even if the 3 are in different packs.

Good point. But why do you think two kills? And wouldn't Boro then take off morm making it 5-2 and they would know then Form is a wolf aka 5-1 the next Day?

Aganzir · 06-10-2015, 05:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nogrod

Good point. But why do you think two kills? And wouldn't Boro then take off morm making it 5-2 and they would know then Form is a wolf aka 5-1 the next Day?

It's 3 am you can't expect me to remember Boro.

Aganzir · 06-10-2015, 06:02 PM

Okay how about I vote Form or McCaber then? Just in case? Have a feeling McC might vote for Boro though. Form voted morm yesterday so maybe him?

Nogrod · 06-10-2015, 06:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aganzir

Form[/B] voted morm yesterday so maybe him?

I could bet if we voted to give an extra vote to Form they would not lynch him the next Day.

I know it doesn't say so in the plan that the vote-getter is innocent - but it will have it's effect on them on an insecure situation (they think we could have given it to McCaber but picked Form for a reason).

And are you sure McCaber votes?

And how realistic you think that rivalling wagon to morm actually is? I think most of them have said toDay they could vote for him.

06-10-2015, 05:48 PM	#1
the phantom Beloved Shadow Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: The Stadium Posts: 5,971	Right- three known Wolves could mess things up. Technically cannot count on either Rikae or Nog. Firefoot and I WILL be here at the finish. Nilp will be (or I will be very cross with him). That gives us three. Then we need either Legate or Agan to give us knowns equaling unknowns (and the innocent of Rikae/Nog will swing it our way). (xpost: didn't see Nog vote) __________________ the phantom has posted. This thread is now important.

06-10-2015, 05:51 PM	#3
the phantom Beloved Shadow Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: The Stadium Posts: 5,971	Okay, so, if both Nog and Green go for Lommy and we are desperate to change it at the finish. Worst case: Mac-Lal-Lottie-Rikae pile on to give Lommy 6. Firefoot, Nilp, Agan, Legate, and I cannot overcome them. __________________ the phantom has posted. This thread is now important.

06-10-2015, 05:52 PM	#4
Nogrod Flame of the Ainulindalë Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Wearing rat's coat, crowskin, crossed staves in a field behaving as the wind behaves Posts: 9,308	And another question: are you really sure you want to put getting the message through in doubt for a possibility there is a tie in the living thread? There could be, yes, but how probable is that with only two or three wolves left there (and not necessary on the same side)? __________________ Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet...

06-10-2015, 05:54 PM	#5
Aganzir Woman of Secret Shadow Join Date: Oct 2006 Location: in hollow halls beneath the fells Posts: 4,511	How about Greenie votes for Form? That way there's 1 for Lommy and 1 for Form now, and (hopefully) 4 innocents and max 3 (2 most likely though - Lalaith didn't vote yesterday either) wolves. __________________ He bit me, and I was not gentle.

06-10-2015, 05:55 PM	#6
Aganzir Woman of Secret Shadow Join Date: Oct 2006 Location: in hollow halls beneath the fells Posts: 4,511	Nog - that way there will be a message. Obviously Lommy is preferable to morm as she's innocent and would kind of convey information about two wolves, but I prefer a lynch to a no lynch in any case. __________________ He bit me, and I was not gentle.

06-10-2015, 05:56 PM	#7
the phantom Beloved Shadow Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: The Stadium Posts: 5,971	What if Green left a vote for one of the other truthful info candidates (like Form)? Then the Baddies wouldn't have a double-vote to pile onto, just a single. Thus worst case scenario they could swing five votes, whereas Firefoot, Nilp, Phantom, Legate, Agan, could outweigh them by dumping onto the other single vote. But that would require Agan-Legate of course. Is there someone else alive I'm forgetting? Bah. (x-post: never mind, Greenie already voted, fingers crossed) __________________ the phantom has posted. This thread is now important.

06-10-2015, 05:50 PM	#9
Aganzir Woman of Secret Shadow Join Date: Oct 2006 Location: in hollow halls beneath the fells Posts: 4,511	LIVING: Formendacil satansaloser2005 McCaber Boromir88 Thinlómien Eomer of the Rohirrim mormegil Shastanis Althreduin Mithalwen Kath Three wolves there, is my guess - both packs still represented. If there's no lynch today but two kills tonight, the village may be at 5-3 tomorrow. Which is not good, even if the 3 are in different packs. __________________ He bit me, and I was not gentle.

06-10-2015, 06:02 PM	#12
Aganzir Woman of Secret Shadow Join Date: Oct 2006 Location: in hollow halls beneath the fells Posts: 4,511	Okay how about I vote Form or McCaber then? Just in case? Have a feeling McC might vote for Boro though. Form voted morm yesterday so maybe him? __________________ He bit me, and I was not gentle.