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Visit The *EVEN NEWER* Barrow-Downs Photo Page |
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#1 |
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The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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WHOA.
![]() I mean, I had Greenie pegged as a gifted, but I assumed ranger. Apparently the wolves noticed something I didn't. And nicely done, my beloved! I'm proud of you! Now do it again tomorrow and we're halfway there!
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
Last edited by satansaloser2005; 06-10-2020 at 04:20 PM. Reason: forgot to bold the beloved <3 |
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#2 | |
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Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
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That's a lot to unwrap here.
So first, yay for Nilp! (Assuming it was Nilp) But there goes our seer... The wolves chose to not put the nightmare wolf in the line of fire for the kill. I suppose they considered Legate a goner anyway. It does re-iterate though that the wolves seem to value their numbers higher than the NW powers. We have to agree for some kind of mode for Greenie to send us her knowledge. Doesn't hurt to analyze her posts anyway, obviously. And then there's Legate to analyze. It's going to be interesting to analyze the voting, too, considering that every one left voted for the same person. A close look at the way the suspicion against him mounted over days is going to be legitimately interesting, though.And considering that Form was the medium, I dare not imagine the amount of harsh language the dead aimed at the living yesterDay. ![]() Quote:
Last edited by Macalaure; 06-10-2020 at 04:24 PM. Reason: crossed with Brinn and Lommy |
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#3 |
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Mellifluous Maia
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth
Posts: 3,489
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I made a note of Greenie's analysis of Legate looking very seerish if he was a wolf, but then when she gave the wrong number of dreams I thought "nah, probably not the seer" ...
Well done, Nilp! Now: I was really worried about toDay being the last day and getting myself lynched because of my antics yesterDay, but it's not quite so dire now. Still, I should explain. I was ridiculously sure Form was a wolf, and thought I could simultaneously protect the seer and ensure a wolf lynch. I figured it would be the last thing I did in the living thread, so I did everything I could to stir the pot and get the other wolves to ... uh ... float to the top? Is that what wolves do? Anyway, I'm really embarrassed. Don't lynch me, I'm a plain ordo who has apparently lost all their wolf-detecting ability.
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#4 |
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Everlasting Whiteness
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Well that was a rollercoaster! A serious blow to lose the Seer but a very effective Night for the Beast Hunter.
Lommy is right that finding a way to communicate with Greenie in the Dead Thread is a good idea but given the only means of communication is the vote for the Medium, and we only see that in the narration, I think the effectiveness of any such communication can only really come into play toMorrow. I am also aware that Greenie's sustained suspicion of me makes things look pretty bad for me toDay. The only thing I hope can convince people that I am not a furry evil-doer is that despite the sustained suspicion, her vote went to Legate in the end. Had I been a wolf, and had she dreamed wolf-me and wolf-Legate, why switch her vote? Even though the Form-waggon (and seriously sorry Form!) pretty much knocked anyone else out of the running, I would have been a better bet for the lynch yesterDay over Legate as far as I can tell.
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“If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world.” |
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#5 | |
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Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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Quote:
However, that the defense itself is based on Greenie, who didn't reveal until dawn, maybe makes it less likely? I honestly can't decide. I started this post having seen that initial statement of Kath's, thought "oh!", and then thought of the Greenie thing mid-post-construction.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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#6 |
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Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
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Let's get the communication stuff out of the way before we get into the meat of things.
I think it makes more sense to communicate known wolves over known innocents. Obviously, though, we don't want the dead to turn a wolf into the medium. What about: If Brinniel is a wolf, empower Kath. If Kath is a wolf, empower Mac. If Macalaure is a wolf, empower Nilp. If Nilpaurion Felagund is a wolf, empower Pitch. If Pitchwife is a wolf, empower Rikae. If Rikae is a wolf, empower Sally. If satansaloser2005 is a wolf, empower Shasta. If Shastanis Althreduin is a wolf, empower Lommy. If Thinlomien is a wolf, empower Brinniel. If you don't have a known wolf, empower no one. There's of course a possibility that two wolves are adjacent in the alphabet, but what are you gonna do. |
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#7 | ||
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Everlasting Whiteness
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Quote:
Quote:
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“If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world.” Last edited by Kath; 06-11-2020 at 04:34 AM. Reason: Bolding |
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#8 |
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Wight of the Old Forest
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Unattended on the railway station, in the litter at the dancehall
Posts: 3,329
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So we actually had a Greenseer?
Is this Middle-earth or Westeros?Got to say this comes as a surprise in more than one way. I mean, I had a strong innocent impression from her posts, but nothing particularly seerish; makes me wonder what the wolves noticed - or Nilp, for that matter, since it seems he actually was the BH. Also, since the wolves now consistently killed people for suspecting Legate three Nights in a row, I'm surprised - disappointed really - he wasn't the NW. Why incriminate a packmate so heavily if you have nothing special to gain by his death? On another note, after Rikae's rather notable Seer hints yesterDay, I'm rather surprised the wolves left them alone and went for Greenie instead, unless of course Rikae is one themself. I mean, it's not impossible that Rikae was trying to set themself up as a decoy to distract from the real Seer, as they claim, but at the same time those hints could have been laid in preparation for a fake reveal to draw out the Seer toDay, and at the very least they could have drawn the Ranger's protection from the real Seer. So I must say I don't like their prophylactic apology in their first post toDay.
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Und aus dem Erebos kamen viele seelen herauf der abgeschiedenen toten.- Homer, Odyssey, Canto XI |
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#9 | |
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Scion of The Faithful
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: The brink, where hope and despair are akin. [The Philippines]
Posts: 5,312
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(I was more disappointed with my DAY 1 choice: it was down to Lottie or Bryn [sic], and guess who I chose.)
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フェンリス鴨 (Fenrisu Kamo) The plot, cut, defeated. I intend to copy this sig forever - so far so good...
Last edited by Nilpaurion Felagund; 06-11-2020 at 07:50 AM. Reason: NOT 'hadn't voted for Legate' |
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#10 | ||||
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Everlasting Whiteness
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A look at Legate:
Quote:
Quote:
Day 2 Exonerates Shasta's vote for Hui by saying it's impossible to tell how the Hui-wagon would go. Soft defend. Says Rikae's vote would only be significant if Form was a wolf, which he now know he wasn't, so could be setting up a defence. Begins to push suspicion of Nog here based on his vote. Not sure what he was concluding about my vote. Quote:
Says Mac is downplaying the likelihood of Form and Nilp being wolves. Then leaps on Nog. Summary of list post: Good = Lommy, Greenie ( known innocent), Brinn, Rikae Middle = Pitch, Nilp (assumed BH), Kath, Shasta, sally Bad = Mac, Form (known innocent), Nog (known innocent), BG (known innocent) So at a guess, Mac could be a wolf as Legate would probably be willing to name a fellow lupine as a top suspect. Also, at this point, I don't think Mac was even near a potential lynch candidate for most of the village, so it's a pretty safe suspicion. And then one from the middle - so to me that's Pitch, Shasta, sally. And one from the good - so Lommy, Brinn or Rikae. Well that reeeeally narrowed things down. ![]() Hmm, right after that, he revises his list to make Shasta and sally more suspicious. Day 3 Pushes at Rikae and Pitch for their votes. So I'd say maybe only one of these two would be wolfy. Also starts to connect Mac and Nilp as a pairing. Jumps on Form at this point. Looks at Mac and decides it could go either way. Quote:
New list (summarised - and I underlined movers): Good = Lommy, Brinn (previously was Lommy, Greenie, Brinn, Rikae) Middle = Greenie, Kath, Pitch, Rikae, Shasta (previously was Pitch, Nilp, Kath, Shasta, sally) Bad = sally, Mac, Form (previously was Mac, Form, Nog, BG) So I'd say only one of sally and Mac was a wolf then, as they're both in the red there. Mac, sally, Rikae are standing out the most to me here. Followed by Shasta and Pitch. Which probably means the remaining wolves are Lommy, Brinn and flipping Nilp given how wrong I've been all game.
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“If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world.” |
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#11 | |
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Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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Quote:
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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#12 |
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Reflection of Darkness
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Polishing the stars. Well, somebody has to do it; they're looking a little bit dull.
Posts: 2,983
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Thoughts so far:
Most Likely Innocent* Nilp Shasta More Likely Innocent* Lommy Rikae More Likely a Wolf Kath Mac Pitchwife Sally *Innocent doesn't exclude the cobbler Well, that narrows it down. Could it be that easy that all three wolves are among my list of four? I will bet at least two of those four are wolves. Will do so more digging later. I feel like I've been so lost these past few Days, but with the events of last Night, now maybe we're getting somewhere.
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Nolite te bastardes carborundorum |
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#13 |
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Mellifluous Maia
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth
Posts: 3,489
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Agreed on most points.
Most likely innocent: Shasta Nilp Kath. Why? Greenie was after her from the start. In retrospect, it doesn't look like a dream compared to how she handled Legate, but at the time, to a pack including a Kathwolf, I think it would. Which leaves more likely wolves: Mac Pitch Sally Brinn (apologies for lack of bolding, I'm on my phone) |
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#14 |
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Mellifluous Maia
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth
Posts: 3,489
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Edit: and Lommy on that last list. I didn't see any sign of her being a dreamed innocent.
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#15 |
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The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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Brinn is correct.
I meant Nilp, for catching a wolf in the act. Granted, it would have been better if they hadn't also gotten our seer, but still, one down is a success.
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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#16 |
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Mellifluous Maia
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth
Posts: 3,489
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#17 |
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The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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Good to know I was right on Legate, but bad to know I was right and acted on others instead. What is the phrase? Ah, yes. "Isn't it nice to know a lot? And a little bit not."
I'm still of the solid opinion that Kath could be a wolf. I need to look at her interactions with Legate, which I'll probably do in the morning. I can only be wrong so many times! Right? Right? Probably being defensive here, but Rikae keeps questioning me on what, to me, seem like obvious statements. I'm not sure if it's evil or cobblery or just the way they read my posts (which I am sometimes confusing!), so I'll keep an eye on it for now and come back to that as well in the morning. We need to be careful toDay with our lynch. Nilp bought us a Day, sure, but let's not waste it, eh? (Hint: Those of you putting me on your suspect lists are wasting it, it being our precious time.) Out for now. Maybe back later, but I have some chores to do and will probably then go to bed. x'd with Rikae
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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#18 | |||||
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Everlasting Whiteness
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Quote:
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Sorry if that wasn't clear when I asked.
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“If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world.” |
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#19 | |
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Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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Quote:
__________________
Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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#20 |
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Mellifluous Maia
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth
Posts: 3,489
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#21 |
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Reflection of Darkness
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Polishing the stars. Well, somebody has to do it; they're looking a little bit dull.
Posts: 2,983
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I'm guessing beloved = BH = Nilp
And I would presume she meant the village. Two wolves = halfway there.
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Nolite te bastardes carborundorum |
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#22 | |
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Mellifluous Maia
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth
Posts: 3,489
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Quote:
It just strikes me as the kind of thing a baddie might say for their own amusement - playing with fire - when they feel like victory is close. Another thing: I realized I've been thinking of Lommy as innocentish all this time without any solid reason, and, reading back through her posts quickly, I was struck by how it all had this light, cheerful vibe, dancing around on the surface of things, talking a lot about game mechanics and other not-directly-productive stuff, those VERY easy votes. Why haven't I been considering her a possible wolf? She's been acting like a classic careful wolf! |
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#23 | |||||
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Reflection of Darkness
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Polishing the stars. Well, somebody has to do it; they're looking a little bit dull.
Posts: 2,983
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A Look a Legate
A Wall of Text (don't worry, it's mostly just quotes).
Day 1 Quote:
Quote:
Voted for Formy. Day 2 Quote:
Quote:
Votes Nogrod. Which means he was the evil link in that bandwagon. There could be another wolf that took part in the Nog lynch, but I can't imagine any more than that. If there was, my guess would be Pitch. Day 3 Quote:
Voted for Formy which he just kind of went along with (in truth, pretty much everyone did). On a side note: 3,000 posts. Whee!
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Nolite te bastardes carborundorum |
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#24 | |
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Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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Quote:
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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#25 |
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Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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I think it's entirely possible we're too close to numbers being even to discount the use of the Medium vote as what it actually is - a vote.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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#26 |
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Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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That is to say - it's entirely possible Greenie didn't dream of another wolf, which through Mac' list would result in no medium vote, which is a good-controlled vote we're missing out on. I don't like that - and I do think that's something a Macwolf would consider.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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#27 |
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Wight of the Old Forest
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Unattended on the railway station, in the litter at the dancehall
Posts: 3,329
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Thank you! That's what I was trying to get at above. If we follow Mac's scheme or Lommy's, we'll only know what the Dead were trying to say when the lynching's done. IMO the better alternative would be for all of us to do a +-prevote, so if the Dead have a known wolf they can empower those voting them, and if they have known innocents they can empower votes to save them.
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Und aus dem Erebos kamen viele seelen herauf der abgeschiedenen toten.- Homer, Odyssey, Canto XI |
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