Tol-in-Gaurhoth Threefold and Six: The Night Guard

[Nilpaurion Felagund]

Doing an analysis of my main suspect Sally--so many posts, so little content--when I realised this.

What do we do with McCaber? Do we Night Guard him, keep him alive for one more DAY, but keep him from protecting someone? Or not, and let him twist in the wind? Obviously it would be better to protect him if we do get a Werewolf lynched toDAY (try to get the remaining baddies kill an unknown instead), but we'll have no forewarning whether the one winning the vote is Werewolf or not . . . So we need to decide this now-ish.

[satansaloser2005]

Originally Posted by Nilpaurion Felagund

Doing an analysis of my main suspect Sally--so many posts, so little content--when I realised this.

What do we do with McCaber? Do we Night Guard him, keep him alive for one more DAY, but keep him from protecting someone? Or not, and let him twist in the wind? Obviously it would be better to protect him if we do get a Werewolf lynched toDAY (try to get the remaining baddies kill an unknown instead), but we'll have no forewarning whether the one winning the vote is Werewolf or not . . . So we need to decide this now-ish.

Oh bugger, I'd forgotten about that.

[McCaber]

I almost don't want to be guarded. I've been doing a terrible job of analysis, and I think giving the village one day (or possibly two, if the wolves are tricksey like that) to sort things out would be the best.

And it seems that Greenie has been chosen. Let's hope she shows fur at nightfall.

[Nilpaurion Felagund]

Originally Posted by McCaber

I almost don't want to be guarded. I've been doing a terrible job of analysis, and I think giving the village one day (or possibly two, if the wolves are tricksey like that) to sort things out would be the best.

And it seems that Greenie has been chosen. Let's hope she shows fur at nightfall.

However, you are a known innocent. It would be nice to have one less to suspect in the village, especially in this one.

[McCaber]

Originally Posted by Nilpaurion Felagund

However, you are a known innocent. It would be nice to have one less to suspect in the village, especially in this one.

That's a fair point.

[Nienna]

He's allowed to save himself so I'd say we should let him save himself and then pick someone to guard... that way there is a possibility, even if it is small, of the wolves being robbed of their kill.

Edit: wow... x-ed with a host

[Nilpaurion Felagund]

Originally Posted by Nienna

He's allowed to save himself so I'd say we should let him save himself and then pick someone to guard... that way there is a possibility, even if it is small, of the wolves being robbed of their kill.

Edit: wow... x-ed with a host

Oh, really now, Wolf?

Originally Posted by Eönwë

The Ranger: Each Night the Ranger chooses who they want to save from being killed by the Werewolves. The Ranger cannot save themselves or the same person twice in a row.

[Nienna]

Originally Posted by Nilpaurion Felagund

Oh, really now, Wolf?

No. McCaber can save himself. Then we will have a known innocent. We can also save someone who we all are seeming to trust giving us TWO people we trust and taking away a KILL from the wolves. All in all it is solid and anyone who thinks otherwise is probably a wolf.

[McCaber]

I'm nearly positive I can't save myself. Unless something has changed since the admin thread said "No," that is.

[McCaber]

Now that I look at it, just from a tactics standpoint it makes sense for a wolf to vote early and try to sucker someone else into voting the same way. And to do so twice on the same day moves sally pretty near the top of my suspect list.

[McCaber]

So right now our choices have to be between Greenie and Nienna. Anything else and the wolves can force a victory.

Thoughts?

[Brinniel]

McCaber can't fend for himself toNight:

Originally Posted by Eonwe

No and no.

[A Little Green]

This may sound like retaliation but I'm really suspicious of Nienna. Her role in yesterDay's bandwagon as well as her arguments toDay just stink of wolf. Pitchwife too, to some extent, according to my logic. I'd be ready to lynch either because I'm quite positive they are two of our three wolves. What do you others think? Who to lynch?


EDIT: x-ed with Brinn, McCaber and Brinn

[Nienna]

Originally Posted by Steve

The Ranger: Each Night the Ranger chooses who they want to save from being killed by the Werewolves. The Ranger cannot save themselves or the same person twice in a row.

They can't save themselves two nights in a row... this makes me assume they can save themselves at all.

[Nilpaurion Felagund]

I interpreted it literally, without that phrase 'or the same person' partitioned. Because obviously he can't guard himself twice in a row (if he can guard himself at all), cos he's the same person.

I think we need to get a ruling on this, though.

Eönwë, can McCaber Guard himself?

EDIT: inserted '(if he can guard himself at all)'.

[Brinniel]

Suspects:

Sally: Look my analysis post of her for reasons.

Nienna: Her latching onto my suspicions of wilwa and pulling for the last minute bandwagon looks really bad. I do want to look at her more, but I'm out of time.

Greenie: A possibility as she has seemed to be playing safe, which is suspicious. She's flown under my radar, but then again she always does that. The only thing is that a bunch of people have suddenly started flying suspicion Greenie's way and are ready to lynch her, and I fear that this could be the start of a bandwagon of an innocent, which would seal our fate.

Pitchwife: Noggie did have good points about him, but I really haven't had time to look at him, and I don't feel I could vote him before taking a look myself. Deadline's only 25 minutes away. Where did the time go?

[Eönwë]

Originally Posted by Nilpaurion Felagund

I interpreted it literally, without that phrase 'or the same person' partitioned. Because obviously he can't guard himself twice in a row (if he can guard himself at all), cos he's the same person.

I think we need to get a ruling on this, though.

Eönwë, can McCaber Guard himself?

EDIT: inserted '(if he can guard himself at all)'.

No, he cannot guard himself. What you said is correct.

[Nienna]

++ McCaber

[Nilpaurion Felagund]

Forgot.

++McCaber

[Boromir88]

Originally Posted by Nienna

He's allowed to save himself so I'd say we should let him save himself and then pick someone to guard... that way there is a possibility, even if it is small, of the wolves being robbed of their kill.

Edit: wow... x-ed with a host

That he can, checked the admin thread.

In that case, I would feel most comfortable protecting Brinn.

Edit: Nilp, you're not reading the rest of the sentence that you have past the underlining..."The Ranger can not save themselves, or the same person, twice in a row." I take that to mean McCaber can guard himself, just not 2 days in a row...but I would guess McCaber would know that better than the rest of us.