Tol-in-Gaurhoth CXIV – The Evil Breath of Morgoth in Dor-lómin, game thread

[Boromir88]

Originally Posted by satansaloser2005

Wishful thinking, my prince.

Okay, but seriously, in a village this big with that many wolves, there could still be a Mac and Huey pack without significant wolf-on-wolf voting. At a certain point in a bandwagon, it behooves one to vote for your packmate more than not, so when both of them happened to come up at lynch candidates yesterDay, their pack would have had to vote for one of them in order not to look like they were trying to pull votes away. Likewise, a wolf could early vote a packmate as a throw away and not expect anything to come of it, and then that person is lynched that Day after a swing in suspicion.

In short, you can have wolf-on-wolf voting without the pack intentionally turning on each other.
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All good points. I'll repeat my disclaimer that I'm not saying we must ignore the Huey voters yesterday, because there can't be wolf-on-wolf.

I feel my judgment has been kind of off so far and trying to be more pragmatic/methodical.

What do I know currently from the night kills and the lynches? The night kills have been safe. Effective? Yes. But no risks taken. The lynches for all their chaos have gone extremely favorably.

So what's more suspicious looking? The votes of people who lynched a now known wolf? The votes of people who voted for and unknown Mac and not HueyWolf? The votes of people who didn't vote for either?

Today, I'm not interested in trying to consider wolf-on-wolf strategy. There's still a ton of people, which means the Mac-votes and the "didn't vote for either" votes, are the more suspicious voters.

And another thing! Why would the pack leave Kitanna alive at that point? If she's the ranger, free dead ranger. If she's not, she's still a good pick because people might assume she's the ranger and she would be less likely to get lynched.

I saw a few people, I recall Steve, suspected her and brought up the possibility that Kit could have been acting as a bold-wolf. It would have been riskiest of risks, for the reasons you mentioned, but not killing her last night would start making us paranoid that she was a wolf, because why else would she be kept alive? Anyway, it's all moot now.

Kit. Ranger. Quarantined. Safe? Yes. Effective? Yes.

Edit: crossed with Steve.