Tol-In-Gaurhoth XXXVIII - E.T.T.T.S.O.W.I.

[Thinlómien]

So, what do you others, Comrades, have to say?

Well, the first thing I have to say is that I don't quite understand where all this suspicion towards me has come from. There seems to be few actual points against me, but still most people seem to be suspecting me. I can't help thinking that there's one (or two) henchmen hiding in this ill-based consensus of suspicion and laughing to themself/ves.

The way I see it, either one or both of the wolves are among Lommy/Brinniel/xyzzy and he/she/they maybe subjectively overestimated the pressure towards him/her/them, or the wolves are playing very, very safe, which would probably also point towards Lommy or Brinniel.

Would killing Menel have been a safe kill from Brinn? No. For if the wolves are after the super science seer or whatever, Menel's death points to Brinn. Brinnwolf would have known she'd take a risk because if Menel truly was the seer, it would point to her guilt. I think your logic is flawy.

I can see many motives for killing Menel. I think, like Mac, that the wolves might have wanted to play it safe and try not to leave tracks. I would also like to point out that he was not really suspected by anyone (I said I had a vague bad feeling about him) so it is possible that he was chosen simply to remove someone who was generally trusted ie some innocent person who had small chance of getting lynched on the next day. In a small village like this numbers count a lot.

Secondly, with a small number of players there's a higher chance of wolves and ranger targeting the same person. The wolves might have picked Menel because they thought the ranger wouldn't protect Menel. (Why they'd assume that, I don't know.) The wolves can win this game quite quickly if they succeed in all their kills and avoid getting lynched.

Also, I know there are some players - like Nogrod and myself and Mac probably falls into that category as well - who as wolves dislike killing contributive & "dangerous" people in the beginning of the game unless they have some serious inclination they're gifted. Menel was one of the quietest villagers yesterday. So could we think Menel's death might point to Nogrod, myself or Mac or anyone else who confesses disliking killing vocal/contributive players in the early game? For many wolves, in a small village like this, could take the more or less safer path of killing the dangerous players, but instead these wolves chose Menel, who's not generally considered a "dangerous" player.

Now I know I'm innocent, I think Nogrod's rather an ordo or the villain than a wolf and that leaves me with Mac. I wouldn't be surprised if another of the wolves was Mac and he would have told his partner in crime that he thinks they should not kill any of the "dangerous" players but rather someone else and they would have chosen Menel...? Now before you accuse me of it I'm not claiming Menel's death means Mac's guilty, I just think that might be the case, especially as I've grown a bit wary of him otherwise as well. There's something forced in his tone and somehow the comment:

Seriously, I didn't see that coming.

sounded very wolvish to me. I can't tell why but it just made a chill run down my spine. Sounds just like something a wolf would say...

Others I think are somewhat suspicious are Volo and Brinn. I can't really say more about it (except that we might be overlooking the most obvious reason to Menel's death which is Brinn's guilt), before I've had a closer look at their posts. It's more like a gut-feeling.

Legate's the only one I really don't suspect of any kind of wickedness. He seems quite genuine. Yet I must say I'm a bit worried about this consensus of trusting him...

Of Xyzzy I really can't say anything, except that I agree with Volo that it would be foolish to lynch him toDay when we have to catch a wolf in order to survive.