Werewolf XLII: The meaning of life forever

[Aganzir]

Originally Posted by A Little Green

2.2. Agan, could you clarify your point a little? Why would a wolf do that? The wolves don't know each other yet (if I understood the rules correctly and no big red magic blinded my little green eyes), so why should they be cautious about each other? Of course, if a wolf finds evidence of someone's guilt it's a different question entirely, but I very much doubt that could be achieved on this early a stage.

The wolves don't know who will be their fellows, but surely they don't want to lose any of them (in the trials or later). So the "best" a wolf can do is to try to avoid suspecting people in general - who knows if their suspects really are wolves and lynched because their fellow began suspecting them? Also, it'll be very uncomfortable for a wolf if they suspect other wolves vocally know. What will they do when they learn to know one another? Just change their mind: "I have reconsidered this and am sure that my previous top suspect is actually innocent."

So that's why I think it's a nice tactic for a lone wolf to downplay the importance of this day, and that's why I think everyone should speak and suspect. I don't believe that all wolves are doing that (or that all who do that are wolves), but I can't see it being anything but useful if we discuss as much as possible now. Does it make more sense now?

Originally Posted by Shasta

I suppose that means they'll be in the arena together on the seventh day?

Probably so. And I guess it's safe to say even now that one of them is a wolf.

Originally Posted by Azaelia

I don't think we have enough from anyone yet to form a solid opinion.

And we will never have enough information unless someone is the first one to start the actual playing.

Originally Posted by Valier

Aganzir- not sure I like that already he thinks Roa an Ordo...unwise Roa is very cunning and it is not good to underestimate her so early on.

Sorry, but I don't understand this. Firstly, the wolves don't know one another. Secondly, I didn't even reach a conclusion when I spoke about Roa! I can understand if you say I don't sit right with you, but I just can't understand that reasoning.

Something about the trials: It will not be wise to concentrate only on your group of three then (I hope this is something everybody has realised, but I think it's good to say aloud, just in case). And we can also make this harder for the wolves. They get to know one another only on night 1, and if people don't post about others than their pre-day fellows before that, it'll be too easy for a wolf to say then: "I changed my mind while seeing what he said/did on his pre-day" about a fellow. So if we force them to comment on others before they know their fellows, it'll be less likely that they can change their opinion about them later and get away with it.
I hope I make sense although I'm not too sure about it.

edit: xed since Rikae

[Nogrod]

Go Agan go!

I'm lifting you to join Lommy with my "not suspecting too much right now" -category. You're speaking plain sense and make good points.

I had some bad felings about your first post to be sure but this one made me rethink your position. I know you could pull that kind of trick to be sure but I'd hate to vote for someone who makes such a lot of sense.

Also I'm a bit baffled why people think Zali's suspicious... Maybe I need to take a closer look on her before the Day ends (less than an hour).

And where is Naria? She promised to come back and I'm truly waiting for her to reappear as I tend to fear her almost as much as I fear Kath (who has not popped in either).

And if I have it right Sally hasn't shown her face either, or Gil-Galad...

[Nogrod]

About Zali then. She seems to be consistent in what she says.

What I find a bit suspicious is her non-commitment to say anything even about the importance of Day 0.0. She kind of walks around the subject looking like she tries to be in good terms with everyone. "Day1's are not my favourites but this time it might be important even if I'm not going to count too much on it..." etc. (that was not a direct quote but kind of a shorthand of what she has said)

A Little Green looks pretty good and Rikae has brought in a few really good points. So that means Izzy is the wolf among them? Maybe I'm not ready to draw that conclusion just yet... But I'd like to hear more from her.

EDIT: X'd with Lommy & Might

[Aganzir]

Aiee, I didn't realise the deadline is so near.

I take back some of my suspicion about Lommy after her last post. But if I have time I'll look through her posts quickly and elaborate on why I suspect her in the first place.

Who strikes me as suspicious at the moment is Groin. I know he's a newbie and therefore suspicious behaviour doesn't necessarily indicate guilt, but anyway.

Originally Posted by Groin

Brinniel- I'm satisfied with the explanation she gives. I still go with my gut feeling anyway and say that she's a wolf.

One of my favourite ways of wolf hunting is reading not only what but how people post. I won't start explaining what my Finnish teacher has told about the reader position (I'm not sure if that's the word, or even a word at all. Anyway, I'm speaking about the perspective from which one automatically views everything s/he reads & writes). And I think the way that was written is suspicious; "Your reply was good, but I don't want to give up suspecting you because I don't suspect anyone else."

Originally Posted by Groin

Nogrod- The loudest and most helpful of the players.

I recognise there the way I always try to please and be in good terms with players I am afraid of when I'm a wolf. Which, of course, isn't what every wolf does, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a newbie wolf doing that.

Ok, and at the moment I feel like suspecting a newbie because of newbieishness.

edit: xed with Noggy, Isabell, Greenie

[Isabellkya]

Saying you're going to vote for non-voters, seems to me, to be a bit on the path of laying ground for future manipulative endeavors, Nogrod. Today is a free vote day, we can do whatever we like with our vote (if we so choose to do so); reading too much into any votes made today, can and will lead only to folly.

Wolves are dangerous regardless of loud/quiet.. a dead wolf is a dead wolf, much more preferable than scratching at the door, readying to maul us. Yet there is a line between naturally quiet, and too quiet. I don't think any of us have the ability to snag thoughts out of others' minds.. so it does help to say words and thoughts. But lynching people based on how vocal they are.. is a bit rubbish.

Sorry.. skimming everything so I can get a post or two in before deadline.. which is just shy of twenty minutes, I think?


X'd with everything after my last post (#69).

[Nogrod]

Originally Posted by Isabellkya

lynching people based on how vocal they are.. is a bit rubbish.

I do agree. But in a long run the silent people turn from assets to threats. That's the way it is.

Okay my vote then:

++ Legate

He's the only one I have something like a "case" on.

In an actual voting I might have voted differently though as I'd hate to lose a contributing player like he is just on these grounds. In a normal game I'd liked to see more of his posting to decide.

Others that look somewhat suspicious to me:
The Ka: Writing a lot to look committed but not saying anything (careful werewolf -tactics)
Zali: Yes, that's too defencive and roundabout to raise eyebrows
Roa: Too agreeable
Groin: Even if a newcomer his list of suspicions looks like he tried to build it up to look good as the general air seemed to be that we should say something about others.

An uneasy feeling I get from:
Naria & Kath: I always fear them and there's only one post from Naria to count...

Am totally baffled about:
Shasta, Sally & Gil-Galad: Are you playing guys?
The Might: I just don't get your reasoning...
Valier: Enigma, as always.
Menel: fifty-fifty

Innocentish:
Brinn: I disagree with her but she feels innocent
Rikae: Talks sense (even if I disagree with a few things) and feels right.
Agan: Talks sense
Lommy: Feels innocent

Sorry. Time's up...

EDIT: X'd with everyone... but it was still 8.00PM