Tol-in-Gaurhoth LXIX: Were-Librarians

[Macalaure]

I can't help but wonder about the kill choice. I agree that going after Sally-voters might have been risky because of the ranger. If another librarian received a vote, they might have shyed away from that person, too, because the argument "they thought s/he was the seer, let's lynch who s/he voted for" is so foreseeable. However, for that very reason, assuming they were clueless about the seer, why not take advantage of that and frame somebody? Instead they went for the second-most traditional kill strategy (kill the trailless, the first being: kill everyone who's after us). How did they think they would really benefit from this choice? I mean, we managed to be fairly successful yesterday without any trail on Day1! I keep on thinking they made a poor choice, which makes me believe in inexperienced librarians. Then again, wouldn't that make a relatively weak librarian team? Hmm.....

[Boromir88]

I keep on thinking they made a poor choice, which makes me believe in inexperienced librarians. Then again, wouldn't that make a relatively weak librarian team? Hmm.....~Mac

Well it is a trailless kill, because wilwa absolutely suspected no one, but that doesn't mean she was killed solely for the reason of leaving no trail. Could be to cause confusion, could be they thought she wouldn't be an easy lynch target, and wanted to keep around people who would. I think it's a bit premature to declare the remaining wolves are inexperienced, because it was a no-trail kill. It was one kill, we can't detect patterns (plans) until there's what...2 bits of info? 3?

When I get back, I'm going to go through the voting yesterday, but I don't know when that will be. There's several errands I've been putting off, so at least a few hours.

Edit: crossed with Nessa.

[Nienna]

I'm on lunch break so I should be around for a while if anyone has questions or whatever.

So far I'm a little concerned about Mac. He has been doing the most analyzing so is not being analyzed. His suspicion of me had no real grounds except that he didn't like my phrasing?... I'm happy he has now backed off and put me on the innocent side of the list but he really started the bandwagon for me which would have saved Sally. I'm going to keep looking and I'll update as needed.

Boro is seeming innocent for me right now. I think it was his banter with Sally at the beginning. It didn't seem wolf on wolf but more wolf on innocent.

[Nerwen]

Originally Posted by Nienna

So far I'm a little concerned about Mac. He has been doing the most analyzing so is not being analyzed. His suspicion of me had no real grounds except that he didn't like my phrasing?

Oh, I've got my eye on Mac too– he sort of started this "the kill could point to Nerwen" thing, after all. (However, I always like to puzzle out the possible reasons for a no-trace kill myself, so I don't want to read too much into that.)