Tol-in-Gaurhoth LXVIII: A Full Moon Over Innsmouth

[Nogrod]

Originally Posted by Roa_Aoife

Nogrod, the discerning eye of a known innocent is something I would value in checking my work.

I'll try to do that later in the Day (tomorrow RL). But your vote for Spm before Pitchie's revealment makes you look quite good for the time being anyway (I actually didn't notice that fact yesterDay as I didn't have time to go through all the posts from the end of Day1 and thought it not such a problem as there was that revealment bandwagon).

But I'll try it later. Now back to Day2...

[Roa_Aoife]

Originally Posted by Nogrod

I'll try to do that later in the Day (tomorrow RL). But your vote for Spm before Pitchie's revealment makes you look quite good for the time being anyway (I actually didn't notice that fact yesterDay as I didn't have time to go through all the posts from the end of Day1 and thought it not such a problem as there was that revealment bandwagon).

But I'll try it later. Now back to Day2...

I actually meant both an analysis of me and checking my analysis of other people. Since I know you won't be trying to disprove my points for nefarious reasons, you can check my work and tell me if I'm being overly paranoid or (less likely) overly nice.

Edit: crossed. Sorry Legate, I didn't see your Edit

[Roa_Aoife]

It does seem like the quiet players are being killed off. Greenie, then Kitanna... both very quiet and not suspected by anyone. That would point to a louder player as the last wolf. SPM was also keen to focus on the quiet ones, and we know his reasons to be nefarious. But was he diverting attention away from more than just himself?

[Roa_Aoife]

I have a prior engagement to get to. I'll be back on in a few hours to do an analysis of Nerwen.

[Nogrod]

Originally Posted by Roa_Aoife

It does seem like the quiet players are being killed off. Greenie, then Kitanna... both very quiet and not suspected by anyone. That would point to a louder player as the last wolf.

That's not too far fetched a scenario... looking at the numbers; if the real loudmouths would be killed one by one the last remaining one would feel quite lonely and might reach a premature lynching for it. Or maybe they are acting just for sportiness (as I would)?

But it's also possible the wolves wish the loudmouths to tear each other apart - as has happened quite a many times...

[Legate of Amon Lanc]

Originally Posted by Roa_Aoife

It does seem like the quiet players are being killed off. Greenie, then Kitanna... both very quiet and not suspected by anyone. That would point to a louder player as the last wolf. SPM was also keen to focus on the quiet ones, and we know his reasons to be nefarious. But was he diverting attention away from more than just himself?

In a way, that would be quite good at least from the point of view that it won't be any submarine who would escape us. Though, what exactly do you call "loud". Okay, by this logic, next person killed should be Brinn or something like that.

Anyway, I think the Wolves this far, in either case, had probably good reasons to kill the quiet players, especially last Night, simply to keep the village in the dark as much as possible. Of course, the choice they made could also have been totally random.

Personally, this tactic goes well together to me with the image that one of the Wolves is Hakon or wilwa (maybe wilwa a bit more than Hakon in this case): they both are the kind of people whom I could imagine killing tracelessly. The remaining Wolf then could be people like Brinn, Nerwen, even maybe Lari... I don't think it fits for example Roa. By the way, one reason why I do not suspect Roa that much is also that I would expect her to kill Nog at Night or something. Although thinking of that, I do not really recall what kind of people she tends to kill as a Wolf, but at least this would sound logical to me.

EDIT: x-ed with the beginning of the page