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#1 |
Leaf-clad Lady
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Whoa. Just saw the time. I've got to be up early tomorrow which means I really really need sleep now. I was hoping to have time to analyse someone else as well and perhaps write a list of some kind - not to mention hear more thoughts from others. Unfortunately I didn't and now I don't. Inzil, since you are around, who do you want to lynch?
EDIT: x-ed with Foley
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
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#2 | |
Leaf-clad Lady
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Quote:
EDIT: x-ed with Steve
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
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#3 | |
Gruesome Spectre
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Heaven's doorstep
Posts: 8,039
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Quote:
![]() Actually, I'm only half joking. I go from thinking he can't possibly be an Elf, to seeing visions of him giggling in the shadows as he surveys all the confusion he's caused. I didn't care for Rune's rep-vote for Kath. Yes, he may not have seen where she'd said she wouldn't be around, but what concerned me more was that he didn't seem to have considered voting her until tp brought it up. I'm going to try and look at some others before DL, but those are the ones that stand out at the moment. x/d with Rune and Steve
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Music alone proves the existence of God. |
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#4 | |
Leaf-clad Lady
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Quote:
Rune? Like I said I'm really torn about him - he seems both really innocent and really evil at the same time. Not convinced either way. Inzil, what do you think about Nerwen? I might want to try her, but if no one else does it's kind of a waste of a vote - and with only four of us who can vote in the first place, wasting even one vote is a big thing. Also, if no one else is in for lynching Nerwen, I'd prefer to see Rune dead than someone I have an innocent feel of. EDIT: x-ed with Runne, yay!
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
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#5 | |
Gruesome Spectre
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Heaven's doorstep
Posts: 8,039
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Quote:
x/d with Greenie
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Music alone proves the existence of God. |
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#6 |
Odinic Wanderer
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Ehm I am here, sorry for missing most of today, stuff came up.
In response to Kath's post about me: It is not that I totally discard my earlier suspicions, but early in the game they are mostly based on not being able to read people and thus less substantial. Greenie I still don't know what to think of and Glirdan. . . well he Died. I was actually quite confident that I would vote Celuien today unless somebody came up with a very good case against another person, now I am a bit at a loss. The way Steve and Zil posts makes it hard for me to get a read on them, but is it enough for me to vote for one of them? (I will give it some more thought) |
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#7 |
Beloved Shadow
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Oh, whatever Inzil. If you consider lynching me then you're either an Elf or not serious about winning.
For the lynch I would like to see the following debated- Green Inzil Shasta Nerwen Legate I would love to see all the Reps rank them in the order that they'd prefer, and I definitely want the candidates to emerge from this list. Given there are five suspects there has to be two that are wrong, meaning the Elves would have at least a couple of clear candidates to push.
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the phantom has posted.
This thread is now important. |
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#8 | |
Leaf-clad Lady
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Quote:
Nerwen - possibly my top suspect at the moment, insofar as I can claim to have one. I would like to see her lynched. Inzil - like I said, I'm slightly uneasy about him though with no arguments to base it on, wouldn't mind seeing him lynched. Legate - would be somewhere in my "no idea, maybe leaning innocent" -category, quite honestly I haven't paid that much attention to him. Shasta - I'm still inclined to find him innocent, definitely don't want to lynch him toDay. Green - obviously. Lynching me would be stupid. I'm still considering Rune as well, my vote will in all probability go for either him or Nerwen. (A curious detail: the three I'm most uneasy about are my fellow reps.) EDIT: x-ed with Foley and Lommy
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
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#9 |
Flame Imperishable
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Right here
Posts: 3,928
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In fact, you jumping on that is making me start to find you suspicious. In fact, maybe my phantom-Zil-Boro triangle wasn't as far-fetched as I'd first thought. Of course, Boro was innocent, but then again, he was the most vocal and outspoken of the three of you, so maybe he was just an innocent that happened to join in?
Looking at the phantom: I've thought him innocent for most of the game, but look at these coincidences:
Of course, other than a few other minor things, this is generally where my suspicion for phantom ends, because he hasn't done anything else to make him look guilty, and in fact many of his posts feel very innocent. Still we all know how cunning he is (or at least professes to be), so I'm sure he could be fooling us. And purposefully/mistakenly missing votes seems very uncharacteristic for phantom (though I admit for both evil or innocent phantom). But not voting (once in a while so that it's not as obvious) would probably be more advantageous for an elf. So let's assume he's evil for the purposes of this post and see how the 'scenario/model' plays out. Moving onto Inzil and the links between the two of them next. edit: x-ed since Lommy's list. edit 2: formatting
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Welcome to the Barrow Do-owns Forum / Such a lovely place
Last edited by Eönwë; 09-22-2010 at 04:12 PM. |
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#10 |
Flame Imperishable
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Right here
Posts: 3,928
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Well, this was actually meant to be part of the same post as the last, but then I decided to split them, so just assume they're linked as one.
I've been trying to find stuff (good or bad) about Inzil, but the problem is that I can't, because there's not much I can say. He's far too slippery, which is not good at all. There's nothing really that can be taken as a strong sign of innocence or evilness, and the only real way to judge him is to look at his links with other people. That's why I've chosen the phantom. Now, let's assume that he's evil (see last post) and in league with the phantom. Consider these under this light:
He also only once gives out clear suspicions of everyone. On Day 2. The link also continues (Though weaker) throughout the rest of the game, but I'm too tired to look in more detail at the rest right now. Besides, I get the feeling that really, one of them is probably evil, while the other might not necessarily be. If this is the case, I suspect that Inziladun slowly tried to associate himself with phantom, so that he could take him down with him if he looked guilty. Or maybe I'm just over-thinking. edit: fell asleep at my keyboard. x-ed since my last post.
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Welcome to the Barrow Do-owns Forum / Such a lovely place
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#11 |
Beloved Shadow
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If we have a single-lynch today, there will be ten of us tomorrow. Now, suppose that the Seer somehow has a way to deliver to you the names of three innocents (or his own name plus two innocents, still adding up to three).
That will leave 7 total unknowns, with 3 Elves (2 if we're lucky today) hidden in their midst. Since there will be 10 total, we will be able to elect 5 reps. And with 5 reps, we can lynch 5 people. So, the proven innocents come up with a voting plan, mandate who the reps should be and who should vote for them, ensuring that there are 5 total. Then everyone debates between the 7 non-provens and decides which 5 to lynch (this should be decided EARLY- start doing it in the first half of the day). The proven innocents then tell the 2 reps who aren't proven to cast their lynch votes for one of the 5 candidates decided upon. Once they've voted and thus everything is safe, the 3 provens split their votes on the other 3, thus clinching a 5-way tie. With numbers like that, I'd say the odds would be favorable that we'd lynch the Elves, or at the least not have more than 1 left alive. If 1 is left alive, then naturally he will slay one of the provens during the night, but the next day there will be 4 villagers left and 2 of them proven innocent. And so those two tell the remaining two to make them Reps by casting a vote for either of them, and then the 2 known innocents proceed to lynch the two other villagers to secure the victory. If the Elf refuses to cast his Rep vote the final day, then of course everyone will know for a fact precisely who he is and the 2 provens can vote for the other unknown and he can lynch the last Elf. So... thoughts? I'd say it's a darn good plan.
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the phantom has posted.
This thread is now important. |
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#12 |
Messenger of Hope
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: In a tiny, insignificant little town in one of the many States.
Posts: 5,076
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What if the seer doesn't live through the night? What if we lynch the seer? What if we don't believe the person who says they're the seer?
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A young man who wishes to remain a sound atheist cannot be too careful of his reading. - C.S. Lewis |
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#13 |
Messenger of Hope
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: In a tiny, insignificant little town in one of the many States.
Posts: 5,076
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What if an elf says they're a seer, we believe him, and he names his two cohorts?
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A young man who wishes to remain a sound atheist cannot be too careful of his reading. - C.S. Lewis |
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