Werewolf LXXXIII: The Nightmare on the East Road

[Nerwen]

Originally Posted by Form

So... I have this mysterious sense of deja vu as I write this... I seem to recall having a no-Nightkill-Day-2 before, with the depressing sense that it's almost Day 1 replayed.

You're upset no-one got killed in the Night? Really?

Originally Posted by Wilwa

if we follow the Seer hint track we could uncover the real one, which is bad

That is a good point. I don't think it worth taking the risk just to catch the BW, but then we might also find a wolf in the process. So I don't know.

Originally Posted by Agan

How come certain people are suddenly all convinced I'm the cobbler and look like they weren't considering any other alternatives? I suggested two things. On day 1, when there had been little serious discussion. The first was an idea I truly believed would help us, the second something that occurred to me and which I thought good to throw out in the open. Has it ever occurred to you that I might have been trying to help instead of distracting us from finding the wolves? Some people find it way too easy to dismiss the latter option. After I'm dead, I'd suggest taking a close look at Nog, and to a lesser extent also Nerwen. It'd be extremely convenient for the wolves or the real Ferny to get someone lynched, her only crime being talking too much.

Firstly, I never said I was convinced you were Ferny, even if Nogrod did. Secondly, I never said why I thought you might be he– it's partly that you were talking so much, that's true, and that you put forward this weird and I think unworkable plan, but also simply because you talked so much about the cobbler yesterDay. Yeah, I know you always do– but you started off by reminding people of that, then telling Volo again for good measure, and then... it just seemed like you were overplaying it. Which might be the action of a cobbler trying to signal to the wolves, or one of the other baddies trying to be "helpful".

Because of that, and because you also fall into the "most eager BW discussers" group I mentioned earlier, and because of what seems to to be an overreaction by you in this post I've quoted, I'm going to vote

++Aganzir

Which I admit is an easy vote, and at the same time doesn't have any real evidence to back it up. But I can't leave it any later, and unfortunately this has been a pretty quiet Day.

[Nogrod]

Stop speculating about who the seer is. Thank you.

*throws a gaze at Shasta, Zil & Lottie especially*


Reading through toDay I think I need to make this point once again. I try to be short and compact.

The first interest of the BW is to not get lynched as only the village can out her. So she can't afford being dreamt of and should then take as low profile as possible in regards the seer; she needs to stay alive to the very end, remember? Do you really consider impersonating the seer (which some of you seem to claim I did) is the way to keep the seer away? Honestly...

The second interest of the BW is to have a maximum number of kills happening (due to her hard victory-conditions), so what is the sense of trying to impersonate the seer with the risk of getting it right and thus calling the wolves to meet her during the Night to no kill being made?

One more point, courtesy of Greenie:

Originally Posted by Greenie

I'm quite at a loss with why Nog calling Agan a cobbler makes it probable Aganwolf and her pack would think him the Seer who had dreamed her.

Exactly. I have been wondering those inferences - as to whether someone is just too busy trying to come up with someone to suspect.

And anyway, if (and when) Aganzir is a cobbler, the wolves wouldn't know it to be true as they don't know who the cobbler is.

So no, I was not visited last Night - and am not the BW.

I do agree here with Eomer: if Tom thinks what I said doesn't make sense and thus thinks me worth a check, let's meet the coming Night.

And we others could use our Day hunting the wolves. Simple as that.


Okay, a short answer to some of Agan's questions in a separate post - and them I'm off for a while, but will be back for some hopefully succesful wolf-hunting.

[Aganzir]

Originally Posted by Nerwen

Firstly, I never said I was convinced you were Ferny, even if Nogrod did. --- you were talking so much, that's true, and that you put forward this weird and I think unworkable plan, but also simply because you talked so much about the cobbler yesterDay.

I know, and that's why the comment was directed more at Nog than you. However, you've kept saying I could be the cobbler without giving any reasons (until now that I called you out on it) - you can't deny it makes you look like you were trying to plant a seed of doubt on people's minds so that I'm easier to kill.
So let's lynch me for being... me? Also, if you think I was overplaying the cobbler thing, please point out which things that I said about the cobblers were irrelevant.