Werewolf XLIV: In the House of Tom Bombadil

[Macalaure]

I didn't find much that can be deduced from McCaber or Ka. She seems to be another one killed for not leaving trails. This seems to be the plan of the wolves, to make our loud and wordy ones argue in circles and lynch each other.


Bordomir:

Boro made cases of Mith, Rikae. However, even knowing that they come from an innocent mind, I don't find his arguments convincing. He also mentions Menel as suspicious.

I don't find Mith's behaviour towards Boro the last two days alarming. Nogrod's behaviour could be interpreted as a more subtle buddying-up, but I won't make that connection - yet.

Rikae's and Volo's suspicion of Boro looks sincere.

Lommy flipflops about him like only Lommy can. It doesn't leave me with a good feeling. Durelin is also overly indecisive on Boro.

[Macalaure]

Originally Posted by Mith

Mac,I don't know why Mith plays so nervously and alarmed I do not concur with your interpretation (mine is a simple combination of PMT, work stress, other RL stress and just too little time making me irritable. Perpetually sane and serene is ironic you know, you should, you have played with me before. The fact that you do not realise by now that being grouchy and thin skinned is completely normal for me in werewolf games, seems a bit odd.

I know you're usually grouchy and thin-skinned, but you seemed to be more like it this time. Sad to hear the reason for it.


Now, over to you, my dear wolves.

Originally Posted by Lommy

I'm almost 100% not all of Nog, Rikae and Mac are innocent. It just would not make sense, there's too much contradiction in the air.

I don't know what you're talking about (what contradiction?), and I think you're pushing your Nog, Rikae, Mac, (Boro) thing way to hard. You look like a wolf trying to get the village to lynch an(y) innocent loudmouth.

Originally Posted by Durelin

First up, a random thought... I suggest that perhaps one of Rikae and Mac is a wolf. At different times they each seem to be trying to buddy-up to the other, which would obviously give the wolf of the pair a pretty strong ally.

Durelin goes into a similar direction. I haven't been buddying up to Rikae. I think she's innocent, but that's all I said. Rikae doesn't seem to be sure what to do with me, defending me at one time and accusing me at another. The latter makes no sense if she wanted to buddy up to me.

Originally Posted by Durelin

On the other hand, I agree with both her and Mac on A Little Green (except that their great suspicion seems to be completely based on the placement of her vote, which does not make sense to me...yes, factoring that in makes sense, but...).

You agree with Rikae and me about Lily, but you think our cases make no sense? Then I suspect you have a case of your own that makes more sense? Share it, please.

Originally Posted by Lily

3. His votes look fishy. On Day1, he voted precisely at the deadline, on Day2 a minute before it. Both times his vote has been to someone others have bandwaggoned first. Also, this caught my eye:

6 minutes before deadline... and yet he votes him all the same. Of course it was to save his own skin, and I understand it, but combined to his Day1 vote of going with the bandwaggon but saying that "I would have much preferred Lommy" it looks weird...

I explained my Day One vote already and I don't see anything suspicious about my vote yesterDay. What are you going after here?


I might be wrong about one of the three - I'm usually getting something wrong when I'm too sure about a complete wolf pack - but these three look horribly wolvish compared to anybody else.

[Nogrod]

Originally Posted by Macalaure

I didn't find much that can be deduced from McCaber or Ka. She seems to be another one killed for not leaving trails. This seems to be the plan of the wolves, to make our loud and wordy ones argue in circles and lynch each other.

That is what I thought of first too... but I wouldn't be too sure that's the only explanation.

Whatever the case the wolves must feel comfortable looking at their kills. Or if not then they are really good creating that impression to move the attention away from themselves.

I came to think of that after I realised my initial reaction was a need to rethink all over again and totally change my scope toDay as it seems I have been so wrong all the time. But as Lommy and Greenie had their turns on my computer first I got time to think and rethink and came to wonder whether that was just the thing the wolves wanted us to do... to feel the need of rethinking - I mean after all most of us very loud players have been quite easy towards each other so far.

It would be quite outstanding indeed - and hats off to the wolves for that if that's the case - that they were having hard times and decided to go on confusing us in hope of getting the loud ones against each other.

But it would be quite a complicated thing to be sure and even if I tend to love these multilayered theories I know the shortcomings of that attitude as well. Having being a wolf a few times I just know there seldomly is the time and / or effort to create that nice master-plans. But who knows?

So the other chance is that we loudmouths were just so far off that they felt it safe to pick The Ka and leave us with the insecurity.

Then again the wolves could not have known that Boro leaves the game... could that have any bearing on the situation?

Or then... and this is the nightmare-scenario... at least two of the more experienced-loudmouthed-theory generating-accomplished wolfhunters are now wolves and they are just trying to keep us others of the same reputation alive so as people would not start to question why they're alive themselves...

Too many possibilities...

I need to go back to yesterDay and look if there is something I have missed and to recollect my thoughts about what happened.

But this was my version of a "short post" to begin with and now I need to turn the computer to Lommy and Greenie first.

[Mithalwen]

Sorry I will try to be more usefull tomorrow. I am not up to much just now....

[Nogrod]

Lommy and LG decided to go to sleep as well...

(OOC: I read them a bedtimestory from the Arabian "1001 Nights" - I don't remember when I have read them a bedsidestory the last time... It was kind of cute - and the story was so weird!!!]

But Mith, Lommy and Greenie suddenly pulling off early... Okay, I'm not going to make a number of it at this point as there are reasons for everyone.

What to do then?

I will look at the vote myself too and will try to cross-examine the votes of the two Days so far.

I will also look at Nerwen as I promised yesterDay as she has started to bother me since Volo made his point yesterDay (I just realised then that he struck in the exact same thing I found a bit bothering in her analysis earlier but didn't stick to it) and she has been one who has flown under my radar quite nicely by posting enough but not coming forwards so much as to make a mark.

I also readily confess I have only a little about people like Lommy, Greenie, Durelin, and Mith - and my thoughts on Rikae and Mac will need upgrading as well... and I'm not too confident about the thoughts I have on Menel or Volo either...

It seems I need to look at everyone... Maybe this was just the thing the wolves wished to accomplish as yesterDay I thought I had something like a hang of it (not a good one but a scenario which is now out of question) so now I feel I'm in the dead-end alley.

To work then.

And hoping to have some company...

[Volo]

Just came home from an uninteresting film and feel dead tired.

To say the truth I'm not very surprised with the outcome. I'm even somewhat relieved, since now I won't try to lynch at least those Innocents.

Nerwen stays a suspect, Lommy feels odd after yesterDay, Durelin and Menel have swam under my net.

I'll do what I can tomorrow.