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Old 08-22-2008, 03:22 AM   #1
Brinniel
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Brinniel is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.Brinniel is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.Brinniel is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.
Some basic thoughts about players:

Fea: So far I have no clue. She hasn't really posted enough yet for me to get a good read on her.
Shasta: Pops out of nowhere, votes, then leaves...twice now. Mostly sound like it's due to RL interference, but I still find it a bit unsettling.
Formendacil: Was that last post of his a confession or just a weird joke? And if it was a joke, why would he base his vote on that? I think that last post was too bold to be a wolf, but there is something fishy about him....maybe he is a cobbler.
Eonwe: I'm really not sure. But based on yesterDay, he looks like maybe an indecisive ordo.
Nerwen: Is one of those who doesn't give a strong opinion about the Kitanna debate, but then votes for her as an obvious throwaway. Something about her seems a tad wolfish, but again I'm not completely sure.
Kath: Still hasn't shown up.
Nilpaurion: An interesting fellow. YesterDay he came out of nowhere an voted Kitanna bringing her into a much clearer lead...looks like the work of a cobbler to me.
Durelin: From past experiences, I know she can be very dangerous. She was one of those that were against the lynch of Kitanna...she voted for Gwath immediately after Greenie did at a time when Gwath was starting to be heavily talked about. Perhaps a wolf trying to create a second easy lynch target?
Gwathagor: YesterDay, I said I doubted he was a wolf, but probably a cobbler. I feel the same toDay, except perhaps I'm a bit less certain about how cobblerish he really is.
Nogrod: I keep finding me agreeing with him or him agreeing with me...but what does that mean? I don't see anything suspicious about him at this point, but I still don't really know at this point.
Greenie: I have the same feelings about her as I do with Durelin and for the same reasons.
the phantom: Always the center of attention, of course. It's really difficult to say what he could be. He's acting rather cobblerish, so maybe he is one. Or perhaps he's just an annoying ordo. Of course, I would disregard the idea of him being a wolf. While his behaviour seems too bold to be wolfish, I think only tp could act in such a way and pull it off.
Lommy: She was one of the biggest advocates of not lynching Kitanna. And while I said I think a wolf would be among those who had such an opinion, I don't think she's it. I mean, would a wolf be so bold and insistent as she? It just doesn't seem a wolf would be so obvious...
Groin: While I really hate to use outside reasons, his post in the admin thread does make him sound a bit like an ordo. But then again, it doesn't necessarily mean anything. And perhaps I'm just using that to get an opinion because Groin hasn't exactly said all that much...only one post.
Mithalwen: She's the one who originally came up with the idea to lynch Kitanna...there's absolutely no reason why a wolf would do this...and I kinda doubt a cobbler would either. Probably innocent.

So in conclusion....

Possible Wolves:
Nerwen
Durelin
Greenie

Possible Cobblers:
Formendacil
Nilpaurion
Gwathagor

No Idea:
Fea
Shasta
Eonwe
Kath
Nogrod
the phantom
Lommy
Groin

Probably Innocent:
Mithalwen

Yeah, my "No Idea" category is much too long...as always....

It's awfully quiet right now...this probably the last you'll hear from me for the time being, unless a bunch of people post soon. But I'll be back a couple hours or so before deadline.
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Old 08-22-2008, 04:13 AM   #2
Mithalwen
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Mithalwen is lost in the dark paths of Moria.Mithalwen is lost in the dark paths of Moria.Mithalwen is lost in the dark paths of Moria.Mithalwen is lost in the dark paths of Moria.
I only have a little time now and will be back later but I don't have much truck with these attacks on lynching Kitanna. If Gwath turns out to be a wolf I will eat humble pie but I bet they wouldn't think it such a daft idea if we had lynched the seer or the hunter last night. Given that some people were absent or very quiet yesterday it is quite possible that at leasat one wolf has been lying low.

As for these Phantom votes I think he would have rather more subtlety as awolf than to kill the person who voted for him.

I shall need a lot more than that to vote for him because.. I like having him around
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