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Old 12-10-2009, 10:13 AM   #921
Shastanis Althreduin
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See, I almost buy that theory... until the part about there being a rule about having to out the dreamt wolf. That part seems farfetched to me.
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Old 12-10-2009, 10:36 AM   #922
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Morsul the Dark View Post
Nerwen
Boro still waiting to see why I look bad
Hold your horses, I'm busy just like you. If you want a quick summary.

Basically, I don't like how the focus has been narrowed down to 2 people today. That is handing the wolves a situation they can control. I wanted to start putting pressure on the people I haven't been spending a great deal of time on, plus those who have been easing by, not getting involved in all these battles that keep happening every day. So, those who have been playing a clean, safe game so far. I include you in here (along with Bes and Brinn...and to a lesser extent sally).

As far as specific things against you. Your votes so far are questionable. Your Day 1 looked reasonable enough, but Mnemo said in #108 that a vote for you would be "too easy" especially considering your vote for Mac. And in #120 Pitch said that your vote looked based on a hunch and that it was understandable. That's 2 wolves defending a vote that I don't see was all that bad. The early first votes are usually the safest (but of course do to any time constraints it is understandable), but no one really finds early Day 1 votes suspicious. So, I wonder what 2-wolves are doing defending you for it?

Plus your vote for yourself. You didn't want to be mod-fired, that's good and it doesn't point to either innocence or wolvery. But the fact that it was for yourself, it looks not only safe, but a move to make people think you're innocent since you did vote for yourself. Now, I'm not familiar with you as a wolf yet, but from the reputation it sounds like you are a tough one to follow. And that vote explains it...you vote because you do not want to be mod-fired, thus you did not want "die." Yet you vote for yourself which suggests you do? The vote itself is safe, and typically when innocents vote for themself it's out of frustration...but your self-vote wasn't out of frustration which makes it look like you were doing it to look innocent, and that gets me suspicioius.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nogrod View Post
Lottie called her role as the "Birthday dreamer"

Now please veterans help me out (Lommy & Boro I think have played long enough) or those who have read the really old games...

But wasn't a "birthday dreamer" a person who got to dream of someone on a certain pre-given Night (like Night 3 or 4) - and then got the role of the one s/he dreamt?!!!

That is the birthday -part of it: as a present that person may take the new role (I don't remember whether it was compulsory to take that role or whether there was a choice involved).
Wow, Nog, you have just convinced me to reconsider everything I've concluded about Lottie. On top of that, I really would not want to see either you or Lommy lynched today (possibly for good too).

I'm not familiar with the "birthday-dreamer" but what you are describing sounds like the Mythomaniac, who chose a person and then could assume their role.

And I don't suspect you for pointing this out, it's something I didn't think about. My reasons for adamantly defending Lottie were, because every part of her reveal matched up. Also, yesterday, if she did only get one dream then the wolves may deem other people larger threats, and risk keeping a known innocent around. That is why I was trying to push that we accept her story, however I also wanted to challenge her to be a real pain-in-the-@** to the wolves, and either try to make them kill her or regret they didn't. Her behavior today and yesterday is a lot different than the days she revealed and then gave us Pitch.

Now they did sacrifice a wolf, but think of the benefit for pulling off a stunt like that if you and wilwa are correct about the secret-role. What do we then make of Bes? Because now the whole Lottie saying "I only dreamed of Pitch, because he said I should dream of Bes" looks too fabricated and clean.
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Old 12-10-2009, 10:41 AM   #923
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The role Nog is describing does seem very awkward, yes. The point where it all falls apart for me is pretty basic: If that were the role, why would she ever reveal that she was a Birthday Dreamer when she could as easily claim to be a regular old Seer, and just hadn't found a wolf yet? She and most everyone else were already pretty confident about Pitch by that point, it would more or less be a done deal.

I understand that she'd have become suspicious after that and around Day 7 or 8 it would be hard for her to claim that she hadn't found a new wolf yet, but it would be better than telling us she was a Birthday Dreamer, which would imply to us that if she was right, she would be a new wolf herself. I think the role works just like she told us it does. Well, barring some wicked reverse psychology and assuming that no one could look up the role.

Edit: Crossed with Boro
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Old 12-10-2009, 10:42 AM   #924
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shastanis Althreduin View Post
See, I almost buy that theory... until the part about there being a rule about having to out the dreamt wolf. That part seems farfetched to me.
It's not having to dream a wolf. The "mythomaniac" role could pick one person (at a certain point) and assume that role for the rest of the game. So, if he/she picks and ordo, she's an ordo.

I'm just familiar with it, because I remember being a wolf, and getting super happy and confident that we killed the seer early (I think Day 2 or 3). But there was also the mythomaniac role, who had picked the seer, assuming seer duties and I was ousted as a wolf.
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Old 12-10-2009, 10:43 AM   #925
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bes View Post
The role Nog is describing does seem very awkward, yes. The point where it all falls apart for me is pretty basic: If that were the role, why would she ever reveal that she was a Birthday Dreamer when she could as easily claim to be a regular old Seer, and just hadn't found a wolf yet? She and most everyone else were already pretty confident about Pitch by that point, it would more or less be a done deal.

I understand that she'd have become suspicious after that and around Day 7 or 8 it would be hard for her to claim that she hadn't found a new wolf yet, but it would be better than telling us she was a Birthday Dreamer, which would imply to us that if she was right, she would be a new wolf herself. I think the role works just like she told us it does. Well, barring some wicked reverse psychology and assuming that no one could look up the role.
Now there's a sudden change of tune about Lottie!
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Old 12-10-2009, 10:49 AM   #926
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Originally Posted by Boromir88 View Post
Now there's a sudden change of tune about Lottie!
Before I jump the gun, I guess it would be wise to realize I've also just had a sudden change of tune about Lottie too and to think about Nog's concerns more. But Bes goes from voting for her, and trying to discredit her, to defending.
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Old 12-10-2009, 10:53 AM   #927
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Originally Posted by Boromir88 View Post
Now there's a sudden change of tune about Lottie!
http://forum.barrowdowns.com/showpos...&postcount=671

Not that sudden. Pitch was a wolf, which implies that I was wrong about Lottie. Suspecting her at this point doesn't seem to make much sense. Anyway, if "Birthday Dreamer" isn't a real role and could mean anything, then yes my argument does fall apart. I'm going to run off and see if I can find a guide on roles, now, because this is getting ridiculous.

Edit: Crossed with Boro again.
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Old 12-10-2009, 10:57 AM   #928
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I'll say what I was going to before this "Evil!Birthday dreamer" theory came up.

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Originally Posted by Boromir88 View Post
That was my point, right now they need days, they need to even out the numbers. If one of them was a wolf, wouldn't you expect a little more calmness instead of immediate retaliation towards the other? They need days, and if one of them is a wolf, than either Nog or Lommy are really placing the last wolf in a terrible situation.

I don't like the how the attention has been narrowed down to 2 people, when there are 6-7 others chilling around. When I get back from class I'll look at those others.
Boro's making a lot of sense here, and the way nearly everyone seems to be for lynching Lommy is starting to worry me. Although, if she's a wolf, there's only one other, so it's not like there'd be a large rescue party... But still, Sally is one of those jumping on her, and I still don't trust her– her last post felt quite evil. (EDIT: Not to mention Lottie, who voted her, being possibly evil after all). And it's worrying me too, the way people who were suspected earlier have managed to disappear out of view again, and the way Morsul and Bes just seem to slip by from Day to Day in their own little bubbles, with nobody taking much notice of them (although I think Morsul's shameless flattery of me should get him a pass for toDay ).

But the thing is, this is all a glaring contrast to the way Boro acted yesterDay. Boro, I know you said this:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Boromir88 View Post
This growing Lommy suspicion just looks too easy. Yes, Nog, I advocated for the simple and straight-forward, but that was in a situation when the day was closing and as much as people don't like bandwagoning, late counter-bandwagons turn out to be just as (if not more) of a disaster. So, yes late yesterday, I wanted to stay on-course so to say.
But in fact you were all for slicing off Wilwa's head with Occam's razor hours before the DL. You really pushed to lynch her.

EDIT:X'd since Shasta.
EDIT2:Word left out; added comment.
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Old 12-10-2009, 11:03 AM   #929
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http://forum.barrowdowns.com/showpos...0&postcount=29

Well I'll be damned.

Edit: I realize that it's Nog both there and here, but it's not like he's making it up just now for our benefit. It's been said before.
Edit2: http://forum.barrowdowns.com/showpos...&postcount=465
http://forum.barrowdowns.com/showpos...&postcount=643

So, where does that put us now?

Last edited by Bes; 12-10-2009 at 11:11 AM.
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Old 12-10-2009, 11:11 AM   #930
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lommy
Then let's lynch Sally. That would give me an idea of Nogrod's role and you an idea of my role.
But if it's between two people, I'd rather vote for the one I find more suspicious, which is you.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lommy
Yes, without any reason I can see as sensible and without caring about the fact that if I was a wolf, I would either be a very ruthless and cold-hearted one or a very stupid one (pursuing a fellow since Day1, killing Mac last Night, for example). Please, think outside the box for a while. Consider what I have said in my defense and whether it could be true. Just, for a while, let go of your suspicion and try to see it from my point of view. If you still suspect me as strongly, well then I think that there is no understanding between us because I can't see how can you still suspect me and you can't see where I'm coming from and you may try to get me lynched with better conscience. Just if you are an innocent, you should reconsider and not latch yourself to a mindless attack. It's braver to reconsider your old suspicions than to stick them to then end if they don't make any sense.
I admit it's possible my suspicion of you has blinded me from your defenses as I cannot see it coming from anything but an evil perspective. And I know it's annoying for someone to be stuck on one person (especially if you're the victim), but I'm not just going to let go because of the possibility I could be wrong. You've been this way before too. In the last game I modded, you insisted Mac was a wolf and wouldn't let go of it until he was lynched...and in the end, you were right. So while you still hate it, surely you can see where I'm coming from. If I'm wrong and you are innocent, then I apologise, though I won't feel too terrible since I didn't suspect you without good reason.

Nogrod makes an interesting point about Lottie's role, though I wouldn't be too quick to jump on her just because of what the role might've involved in the past. For one thing, the birthday dreamer role hasn't been used for a long time, before Legate's time too I think. His version of birthday dreamer could possibly be different than what it originally was. I just don't understand why she would reveal if this was so; maybe she didn't know the role already existed? I don't have time to figure this out, so I'll think about it more toMorrow when I actually have time.

I have class now, so I must vote now since I won't be back. No surprises here:

++Lommy
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Old 12-10-2009, 11:24 AM   #931
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bes View Post
The role Nog is describing does seem very awkward, yes. The point where it all falls apart for me is pretty basic: If that were the role, why would she ever reveal that she was a Birthday Dreamer when she could as easily claim to be a regular old Seer, and just hadn't found a wolf yet? She and most everyone else were already pretty confident about Pitch by that point, it would more or less be a done deal.
First of all claiming to be a regular seer would have been really dangerous as people would have wanted some names, basically on Day-to-Day basis. Of course a wolf could give you an innocent - even a mate as an innocent - every Day (and claim that every single person she had dreamt thus far had been killed or lynched already - which would be a bit eyebrow-raising as itself), but looking at the end-game there might have been some serious problems for the wolves, especially if the ranger got a hold of the game and started succesfully denying the wolves.

Secondly I think it would be highly unlikely a "secret role" would have been a normal seer role. That would have been even more an anticlimax than just a "one Night's seer" (which I honestly find an improbable and odd role).

Thirdly it might very well be that when she had to come up with this "one Night seer" -role to hide her real role she wished to give it a name - and named it with the name Legate had given her, her not knowing the ancestry of the role named thus (and Legate might be a person who studied history when using names on roles - the sad thing being I only remember it was thus... I'll try to find it but it might be quite laborious to find; so anyone who remembers the Birthday dreamer role accurately, please come forwards!).

Okay, I admit we're again walking the thin line between meta-reasons and in-game reasons, but as she actually said herself in this thread:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lottie
If it helps, Legate called the role the ,,birthday dreamer'' (with the funny commas and everything) and I was forbidden to reveal on Day 1.
I don't feel too bad pointing at it...


EDIT: X'd with Bes & Brinn (good to see you trying to find the thing Bes... didn't you find anythnig more on it? - Okay I'll give it a try as well)
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Last edited by Nogrod; 12-10-2009 at 11:27 AM.
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Old 12-10-2009, 11:26 AM   #932
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Plus the fact that the game started... on Legate's birthday.

In any case, I'm just back from a final and am reading. Right now I'm still thinking that one of Nog and Lommy is a wolf, and that Boro and Bes have done complete 180s on Lottie which strikes me as odd.

Where I stand - I would be willing to lynch Lommy, Nog, and to a lesser extent Sally today.

A note - Nerwen is far below my radar this game. If there's anyone not playing like they usually do, it's my queen.

Edit: X'ed with Nog. Remember where absolutes get you, Nog? (Hint: Roa wasn't a wolf.)
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Old 12-10-2009, 11:31 AM   #933
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Originally Posted by Shastanis Althreduin View Post
Plus the fact that the game started... on Legate's birthday.
That was a good one. I mean really it might make sense...

Quote:
Edit: X'ed with Nog. Remember where absolutes get you, Nog? (Hint: Roa wasn't a wolf.)
Where do you find "absolutes" in my last post?
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Old 12-10-2009, 11:34 AM   #934
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Shasta: Still spinning on Lottie, if it matters at all. I'd like to get the analysis of someone more experienced on what I've found so far before I go making any more decisions...
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Old 12-10-2009, 11:37 AM   #935
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Quote:
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But in fact you were all for slicing off Wilwa's head with Occam's razor hours before the DL. You really pushed to lynch her.
Yes, I was willing to bet the house she was a wolf. I got it wrong, I'll send her a christmas card or something to make up for it. When you realize you were wrong about your top suspect, and you put a lot of effort towards that one suspect, you realize that you have no idea about anyone still living besides a few vague feelings. My certainess about believing I was on the "right trail" took a big hit.

And I still just did not like the way today was shaping up with the direction being driven on Nog and Lommy. Yesterday, and the day before, there was still a lot of things going on, and action, besides my hard-headed crusade against wilwa.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Brinniel View Post
For one thing, the birthday dreamer role hasn't been used for a long time, before Legate's time too I think. His version of birthday dreamer could possibly be different than what it originally was.
Possibly, but I don't agree with the reasoning that the role was used before Legate's entrance into WW. He's a heavy reader of past and present games (of course when he's got the time for it). He could easily know about the role, doesn't mean it's not altered, or that Nog is even correct, but it is worthy of more thought than a quick dismissal. Especially since, I think Lottie has changed her behavior from her revealed days as a believed seer, to her last 2 days as an assumed innocent.
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Old 12-10-2009, 11:40 AM   #936
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Okay, I found at least this from Valier's WWJ Attack of the Werecats:The ppuuuurrfect village (06)

Quote:
Originally Posted by rules
The Birthday Dreamer:The fifth night will be one Ordinary villagers birthday. They will receive a pm from me during the Day letting them know it's their birthday. That night they will dream about a villager of their choice. If they choose a Gifted, they will become that gifted as well, for the rest of the game. If they choose a Werecat they will become one themselves and join the pack. If they choose an Ordo the game will continue as normal.
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Old 12-10-2009, 11:46 AM   #937
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shastanis Althreduin View Post
In any case, I'm just back from a final and am reading. Right now I'm still thinking that one of Nog and Lommy is a wolf, and that Boro and Bes have done complete 180s on Lottie which strikes me as odd.
Indeed... and the thing is, Bes' response to the situation is looking to me not unlike a panicking wolf-cub.

Quote:
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A note - Nerwen is far below my radar this game. If there's anyone not playing like they usually do, it's my queen.
Pearl of my heart, your queen has been occupied with other matters this week. For example... (Note: this links to my reel, which may take up valuable ww'ing time to load. I'm just saying, these things take some time to put together and upload.)

EDIT:X'd with Boro and Nog.
EDIT2:Explanation.
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Old 12-10-2009, 11:47 AM   #938
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Where do you find "absolutes" in my last post?


Quote:
Originally Posted by Nogrod
Thirdly it might very well be that when she had to come up with this "one Night seer" -role to hide her real role she wished to give it a name
See? You're not even considering it a theory, anymore - you're assuming that it's fact. Just trying to prevent you from getting egg on your face (again).

Edit: X'ed with she who puts the moon's quiet beauty to shame.
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Old 12-10-2009, 11:54 AM   #939
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Valier's game-rules
They will receive a pm from me during the Day letting them know it's their birthday. That night they will dream about a villager of their choice.
N.B. Why Lottie was so keen in revealing the Day before her "dream" was possible? Because she got to know it that Day and she had a chance of a lifetime to get this extraordinary-role executed for her the Night to come - unless she was lynched (which was possible I think?)! So she went and revealed to be a seer knowing full well she had the secret role so there would be no real seer to contest her revealment and to make herself live to do it (as the ranger would protect her from the Night kill with such a revealment)!

EDIT: Added bolding...
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Old 12-10-2009, 11:56 AM   #940
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shastanis Althreduin View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by me
Thirdly it might very well be that when she had to come up with this "one Night seer" -role to hide her real role she wished to give it a nameSee?
You're not even considering it a theory, anymore - you're assuming that it's fact.
"It might (very well) be" = absolute judgement?
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Old 12-10-2009, 12:00 PM   #941
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"It might (very well) be" = absolute judgement?
No, Nog, the part where you say "to hide her real role". We're getting into a battle of semantics, though, so I'm going to drop it. *sigh*
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Old 12-10-2009, 12:03 PM   #942
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Originally Posted by Nogrod View Post
Okay, I admit we're again walking the thin line between meta-reasons and in-game reasons, but as she actually said herself in this thread: I don't feel too bad pointing at it...
I don't think so, we're trying to figure out the specifics of a certain role. Obviously he's not going to come in and confirm whether you are right or not, but if he expects us to stand pat and not try to figure out what his secret-role was, than he should never have created a secret one. (No offense met Legate, I'm just against stiff meta-reasoning muzzles, it verges on reminding me of PC, which often causes the death of history and historical context ).
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Old 12-10-2009, 12:09 PM   #943
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shastanis Althreduin View Post
No, Nog, the part where you say "to hide her real role". We're getting into a battle of semantics, though, so I'm going to drop it. *sigh*
If I start a sentence with "It might be that..." it does mark everything said thereafter in that sentence as a possible thing to my ear - and not absolute. Maybe English doesn't work like that? Finnish works like that.

I think it's wise to cut short with semantics though, not to say cut off with "battles" on this...
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Old 12-10-2009, 12:17 PM   #944
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++Sally Same reasons as yesterday... Not a fan of this two person game at the moment... Guess I'll see how it pans out...

Cleaning update if anyone cares Almost done 2-3 more hours oughta do it!
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Old 12-10-2009, 12:29 PM   #945
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I seemingly have used quite a lot of time with this idea of a Birthday dreamer... but I think it is a thing we should actually think about, especially with what Boro says about Lottie acting differently after gaining her status... I'm going to check back on it to see if I get the same feeling from there. The thing that I noticed while searching for her wordings was, that on the Day she revealed Pitchie she immediately had a lengthy analysis on Lommy ready deeming her quilty, and I think she has sticked to it ever since.

On another thoughts I think Lommy's defence was fiery and personal enough to make her look better to me. Even if I think she overreacted and even if I know it's not once a wolf has wrestled herself out from lynching with getting personal... And sorry Lommy, I had totally forgotten your votes on Mnemo on the first two Days (as I said I was in a hurry just trying to see for something that would make sense to me what you were doing there in the end of the Day). Not that these things make me think you're pure as an angel they actually lessen my suspicions on you quite a lot. Not to speak of that band-waggon that just appeared from nowhere in minutes...

Also what Nerwen said about Bes being a possible panicky wolf-cub. I was actually confused as no one seemed to react to my suspicions on Bes yesterDay...
Quote:
Originally Posted by me
I would still say that the way Bes tried to reason us lynching Lottie before she had time to have a possibility to dream and come up with something we could consider looks wolvish
If my theory of the Birthday dreamer is right that might be a wolf-cub trying to get a "seer" lynched - and then she might have changed into an ally the coming Night, which would be quite ironic but not too far-fetched anyway...
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Old 12-10-2009, 12:46 PM   #946
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nogrod View Post
If I start a sentence with "It might be that..." it does mark everything said thereafter in that sentence as a possible thing to my ear - and not absolute. Maybe English doesn't work like that? Finnish works like that.
The way you've phrased that sentence, "might be" seems to apply only to Lottie wishing to give the role a name.

Anyway, I have to go now. I'm definitely not ready to vote yet, so I'll have to risk not getting back before the DL.
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Old 12-10-2009, 01:30 PM   #947
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Replying and reading at the same time...

Nogrod, that is a scary theory, especially as it kind of makes sense! Because then Lottie could've revealed the Day before and just tell half of her role... and then she really would've had to give us a dream (and maybe she wasn't allowed to pm with her fellows yet?) so she saw no other option as telling the trust that she dreamt of Pitchie (also that was quite an ingenious way of earning out trust). If I may say without being jumped on, that really explains her single-minded and unreasoned voting against me Day after Day - very easy for a wolf, an innocent would maybe think more. Aiee... I'm tempted to buy this theory but I probably shouldn't, at least right away. Hmmm... I need to think more.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Brinn
But if it's between two people, I'd rather vote for the one I find more suspicious, which is you.
I understand, but I was merely offering a compromise, sort of.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Brinn
You've been this way before too. In the last game I modded, you insisted Mac was a wolf and wouldn't let go of it until he was lynched...and in the end, you were right. So while you still hate it, surely you can see where I'm coming from. If I'm wrong and you are innocent, then I apologise, though I won't feel too terrible since I didn't suspect you without good reason.
I know! But the difference is that Mac was guilty back then and I'm innocent now. It might be presumptuous to say, but I wouldn't have been so sure if I had been right: I've never been as sure of anyone's guilt before or after that (that is, without universally acknowledged heavy evidence). I won't be wanting any apologies (it's just a game), except maybe for stating that there are good reasons to suspect me because I simply can't see any.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nogrod
Plus the fact that the game started... on Legate's birthday.
Was that a joke that I missed? Legate's birthday is in July.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shasta aka Brutus
Where I stand - I would be willing to lynch Lommy, Nog, and to a lesser extent Sally today.
When did you start that too? *deep sigh*

I mean, this is really puzzling. I don't simply get where is all the suspicion against me coming from. I can't see anything wolvish I would've done, (nor why people don't see my points about why it's unlikely I'm a wolf). If you lynch me toDay, I advice to look at the suspicion bandwagon against me very carefully: I'm pretty sure you will find one if not two wolves there.

Anyway back to Lottie birthday dreamer issue - I think it would actually be quite likely Legate used the original role. And as for people changing behaviour towards Lottie after the Nigth she dreamt, that could mean nothing, because it could mean they didn't get to PM or even know her role yet then...

..am I really believeing in this guilty birthday dreamer thingy? Oh my. I'll be off for a while and think about it and other stuff, like for example who are our remaining wolves... (speaking of which Nogrod is playing quite a game with all this birthday dreamer stuff if he's a wolf...)
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Old 12-10-2009, 01:32 PM   #948
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nogrod View Post
Also what Nerwen said about Bes being a possible panicky wolf-cub. I was actually confused as no one seemed to react to my suspicions on Bes yesterDay...
I was mostly operating under the assumption that I agreed with Shasta, that I wondered since Pitch and Mnemo were after eachother, I doubted if Pitch would throw out another wolf like that..."Here Lottie. Look at Bes." But if Legate's kept the basic premise of the Birthday Dreamer, turning into whatever role of the person she picks, than that changes how I feel about Bes. Particularly with now the defense of how you bringing this up doesn't make sense, when Bes was quick and adamant about rejecting Lottie's claim being a limitted-seer before.

I'm sure my switch looks suspicious too, but I've been presented with a view about a different role I hadn't even thought about (nor heard, but it sounded similar to the mytho-maniac). It just looks really suspicious that now you (Nog) proposed something that supported Bes' not believing Lottie's claim, that he's had a sudden switch.

In my opinion, whether you are right or not, today is our best shot to find out. If you are right (meaning we have 3 wolves and not 2) we don't absolutely need a wolf today, but this gives us 1 less day than I thought we previously had, making our situation more desperate.

If you are wrong, we still have 2 wolves, and that Lottie was telling the full truth about her role. Since it's been thoroughly discussed this is something we need to find out.

We know Lottie is not the Ranger or the Hunter. She is either a wolf due to the Birthday Dreamer role, or an innocent. It's worth the risk to find out for sure today, than to mis-lynch (or drag out) one of our gifteds. Then to also be stuck in the same decision the next day, because with all this talk about it, if Lottie is innocent I doubt she will end up killed by the wolves now.
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Old 12-10-2009, 01:47 PM   #949
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Quote:
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We know Lottie is not the Ranger or the Hunter. She is either a wolf due to the Birthday Dreamer role, or an innocent. It's worth the risk to find out for sure today, than to mis-lynch (or drag out) one of our gifteds. Then to also be stuck in the same decision the next day, because with all this talk about it, if Lottie is innocent I doubt she will end up killed by the wolves now.
If clarification is needed...we're going to need to find out about Lottie today or tomorrow, the best case is to do it today.

I will be back before the DL, whatever is decided about Lottie. I will not vote to lynch Lommy. And before anyone tries to turn the tide on sally, I will not vote for her today either.

If Lottie is not a possibility. I will vote for Morsul, since he asked for my reasons to suspect him, but did not respond and left. Or for Bes, but most of my suspicious feelings about Bes revolve around Lottie.
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Old 12-10-2009, 01:50 PM   #950
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Back for the rest of the Day. Can I get a vote count please? *pulls out cute!face* I'll go catch up and see what I can find. Back soon!
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Old 12-10-2009, 01:54 PM   #951
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BORO Oh I missed that paragraph...
Hmm... yes wolves did defend my vote... and it was for an innocent... as for the vote for myself... well it was either that or shoddy votes against some one else which would also look bad...

as Mac would say fair points I get it...
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Old 12-10-2009, 02:08 PM   #952
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Quote:
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insert insanely long "analysis" of Nerwen here
I'd just like to take a moment to point out the flaw in not only Morsul's logic but....well, in general. (Which isn't to say you're not a nice person, dear, of course.) He'd gotten on me before for too often saying I couldn't be here. Notice how Nerwen does much the same (which I won't be covering at this time) and he just let her pass with it. Also, his anaylsis is just quoting her posts (and not even!) and summing them up for us. No opinion of his own, no nothing. Meta banter, telling us of real life, and then an analysis that is no sort of an analysis at all, which despite finding me guilty for doing something he has passed Nerwen over for. This=wolvery to me. Either that or just plain awful logic.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nerwen View Post


I have no idea whether what Nog's saying here is right– this was all before my time– but that would change everything.

Anyone know?
So I hate that the Downs won't let you quote a quote within a quote (at least the easy way) but this is the part about Lottie's role. This has been discussed a lot toDay and I think it has a fair point. She could have taken on Pitch's role (more or less) after he died. However, I don't think this is likely as if that was the case the hunter (or at least a good hunter) would have come out by now to say "Hey, my list is still ordered to be the same length. Something ain't right, people!" Certainly this would have been my course of action and I believe any other hunter would do the same so I don't think that would be the case. However, to be fair, she could still be evil; perhaps after killing Pitch she became a cobbler? Bah, that doesn't make any sense. I'd care to leave Lottie alone for a bit longer; not too long necessarily, but there's just too many opinions on her and too much we don't know to lynch her at this point in my opinion.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Thinlómien View Post
Was that a joke that I missed? Legate's birthday is in July.Anyway back to Lottie birthday dreamer issue - I think it would actually be quite likely Legate used the original role. And as for people changing behaviour towards Lottie after the Nigth she dreamt, that could mean nothing, because it could mean they didn't get to PM or even know her role yet then...

..am I really believeing in this guilty birthday dreamer thingy? Oh my. I'll be off for a while and think about it and other stuff, like for example who are our remaining wolves... (speaking of which Nogrod is playing quite a game with all this birthday dreamer stuff if he's a wolf...)
See my commentary above. It could be possible Legate lifted the role yet left it up to Lottie to decide which side she was on (Mith had the same option in my game, where once she had completed her task she could decide her permanent alignment) or he could have made something completely different.


All in all I think this discussion of Lottie is beneficial yet also wasted; the only way to find out what she is or is not is to lynch her, and frankly I'd like to lynch a better candidate toDay since I don't have the time at this stage in the Day to look at everything regarding her in-depth. I'm not saying that I trust her completely nor that I think she is evil, but I'm torn enough on the subject of her honesty and allegiance that I don't think it's a good idea to kill her toDay.
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Old 12-10-2009, 02:10 PM   #953
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Also, I concur that Bes has looked exceedingly wolfish toDay and in general concerning Lottie. (Why, Lottie, you just may be the talk of the village for Days to come. How does that make you feel?)



Surprisingly I've not x'd with my last post but I suspect I will with this one so I'll get back to reading. Hopefully the silence means I'll get that vote count I asked Santa for.
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Old 12-10-2009, 02:12 PM   #954
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Porgy and Bess... erm... Lottie and Bes... part 1

Lottie says on Bes...

D2

Quote:
Originally Posted by list
Bes is new. I don't know his style yet, but he does seem a tad bit off. I'll look at him later, probably not toDay.
Quote:
Really, I think only Nog, Lommy, and Bes look at all wolvish to me.
D3

Quote:
Originally Posted by list
Bes still looks suspicious to me. He is a newbie, so I'm not looking very hard at him yet, but I do think he could easily be a wolf.
...
Bes, Lommy, and Nog still look the worst to me.
Quote:
Don't lynch me toDay, because I am the Secret Role. I am a limited seer. I have only one dream, on Night Four - aka, toNight.
Quote:
For a new suspect: How about Bes? The more I look at him, the more uneasy I get, but I don't have time to analyze him right now. I've only got fifteen minutes or so before I've got to go...
Quote:
Originally Posted by adding to a Besanalysis
He hasn't come on again, but when you look at him, he never really says anything...might just be newbieness, might be wolfishness. As he's my top suspect
Votes Bes.

D4

"Reveals" Pitchwolf, gives a Lommyanalysis... ending with
Quote:
All in all, I do think Lommy's probably another wolf, and I'm still suspicious of Bes, but I"m not going to analyze him again.
But here comes the change (Like immediately after)! (bolding mine)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lottie
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pitch
À propos, I'm tempted to vote Bes for his vote against our only chance of a Seer in this game, which if not furry is still silly. It just might be crass newbieness, I don't know - leave him be till tomorrow? If Lottie dreams him toNight, we'll be wiser.
This kind of makes me not suspect Bes as much. It looks like Pitchwolf was trying to hint that I should dream about Bes, when my dreaming Bes wouldn't really have offered much to work with, other than his own role. Hmm...anyway,

Later she mentions Bes only:
Quote:
Might be playing up the newbie card, but what with Pitchie's 'suggestion' I'm more willing to believe that Bes really is just a newbie, not a wolf. Still, he's one to keep an eye on.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lottie
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shasta
#538 (Pitch) - Retracts his earlier statement of Brinn's innocence, and tries to push Lottie to dream of Bes. To me, this points towards Bes's innocence.
Okay, that's pretty much exactly what I said.
Quote:
There was a mini-conflict yesterDay about Bes's idea that my reveal was trying to get rid of the Ranger, and no one understood what he meant. His post explains what he was thinking, at least.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lottie
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bes' vote post for Pitch
I'm having trouble coming up with anything like a decent counter to the arguments that favor voting Pitch today. As has been stated by others, if Pitch isn't a wolf, then Lottie will get lynched tomorrow and that's still a wolf down (probably). If Pitch is a wolf, apologies and thanks are in order, if only on my part, to Lottie. We lose Pitch, of course, and that's sad if he's innocent, but apparently how the game is played. Sorry Pitch.
This post does look very strange.
Which it is...

But yesterDay or toDay... no mention of Bes at all...


So Lottie really is after Bes on D2 & 3, but after the crucial Night she backs away from him using Pitchie's odd suspicion (was it a suspicion after all?) as a ground for it. And now she has nothing to say of him?

So Bes being an original wolf and Lottie turning into one on N4 would fit perfectly.
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Old 12-10-2009, 02:14 PM   #955
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Nog: Forgive the personal and completely stupid question (as I'm too lazy to check) but was your birthday at the same time as Lottie's dream Night? Or was it another date?
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Old 12-10-2009, 02:16 PM   #956
Morsul the Dark
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Content my Dear Sally content... which for the record today at this point is far better... nerwen has some posts about being busy but the posts she has seem to have more input and opinion...

The only reason I voted you today is I'm not a fan of either of the top candidates and you are my next choice(For the record your wolfdom is going down today) Also I'd like to point out my analysis of Nerwen is a bit biased because she shares a few votes and ideas with me... Not exactly a good reason but...
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Old 12-10-2009, 02:19 PM   #957
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Quote:
Originally Posted by satansaloser2005 View Post
Nog: Forgive the personal and completely stupid question (as I'm too lazy to check) but was your birthday at the same time as Lottie's dream Night? Or was it another date?
I think it was the next day (December 5th - as mine was Dec 4th...). If you think that important to know.
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Old 12-10-2009, 02:19 PM   #958
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Originally Posted by Morsul the Dark View Post
Content my Dear Sally content... which for the record today at this point is far better... nerwen has some posts about being busy but the posts she has seem to have more input and opinion...

The only reason I voted you today is I'm not a fan of either of the top candidates and you are my next choice(For the record your wolfdom is going down today) Also I'd like to point out my analysis of Nerwen is a bit biased because she shares a few votes and ideas with me... Not exactly a good reason but...
Which for the record toDay I've not even been on because my internet's shot. And I'm glad you realize that agreeing with someone does not ensure their innocence. Quite the opposite in fact....


Blah. I'm trying to decide who to vote. Bes looks so bloody awful too. *is torn*
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Old 12-10-2009, 02:20 PM   #959
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Originally Posted by Nogrod View Post
I think it was the next day (December 5th - as mine was Dec 4th...). If you think that important to know.
Not exactly, but given....erm, the point is that since there was a birthday dreamer I was trying to decide if the Night was specifically chosen and I couldn't remember if it was on your birthday or not. Being silly, really, but I thought it interesting.
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Old 12-10-2009, 02:20 PM   #960
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Sally True You haven't posted much but what you have feels fuller to me than your earlier game posts...
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