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Old 04-12-2010, 08:15 AM   #1
Nogrod
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(~~~) *grin appearing*

Well then those who walked their own paths (more epic-style to our thread ).

Greenie -> Shasta
Agan -> Inzil
The vote-count at that point was (also when Agan actually voted):
Sally2
Glirdy1
It wouldn't be the most effective way to help Sally but as the vote was made relatively early it might have been somewhat good idea for a fellow wolf putting another "easyish" voting candidate into the list (increasing the chances that someone else will get the noose eventually), and if Glirdy is a wolf, then her choice of adding a new candidate would be obvious.

Shasta -> Morsul
The vote-count at that point was:
Sally4
Glirdy1
Shasta1
Sally was clearly taking the heat there so just to defend her Shasta's move isn't the best one to help out a fellow, but seeing that he himself had a vote as well it could be possible Shasta-wolf decided to bring forwards a new candidate - not to talk of the possibility only wolves had gathered votes at that point of the Day!

Mira -> Winty
The vote-count at that point was:
Sally4
Glirdy1
Shasta1
Morsul1
Now this is an interesting choice. One more "easy lynch" candidate thrown into the lot. There were a host of votes to come as it was relatively early so why not put all the baits in there so that someone would pass Sally? And many had suspected winty, so maybe the "benefit of doubt" would have worn away? Or were there too many mates in the fray at that point that she really needed to add a new one?


The thing that bothers me with basically everyone here is that they more or less bring forwards the so called "easy lynches". Obviously they all four can't be wolves and thus some of their suspicions must be honest and innocent. But I'd bet a lot for there being a wolf in this group - like in the group of Glirdy-voters.

The rest coming soon.

(~~~) *grin vanishing*
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Old 04-12-2010, 08:44 AM   #2
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Sally-lynchers then...

Morsul -> Sally
Nerwen -> Sally2

Morsul looks so darn suspicious everytime he plays but it would be quite daring for him to start voting against a mate who clearly was facing some real pressure that Day. And actually, if Glirdan is a wolf then the same applies for toDay. Could it be a done deal? Risky, but possibly paying back in the endgame?

Nerwen I think quite good of as adding the lead of a packmate at that situation would hve been both bold and possibly quite counter-productive. Or did they think Sally was a goner already during the Night?

Legate -> Sally3
winty -> Sally4

These two votes I think talk rather good of their makers as one looks at the placing of them. They clearly made Sally the real candidate number one. If one of them were a wolf they'd surely have reasons coming for another candidates? So voting Sally at that point would have been unnecessary.

Nog -> Sally5
Brinn -> Sally6

More or less the same as with Legate & winty. The difference being that there was then clearly a chance of a second candidate with Glirdy. I suspected Sally more than Glirdy, Brinn didn't mention Glirdy at all.

Glirdy -> Sally7

Self-preservation, whatever his role is.

Nienna -> Sally8

The decisive vote.


Blah... have no time to continue as I have to run to a meeting. See you later...

(~~~) *grin vanishing*
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Old 04-12-2010, 09:22 AM   #3
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Looking at the voting list, Mira's vote looks quite bad not only because of the nature of the vote that I mentioned yesterDay I didn't like, but the timing too (Sally was really racking up in votes by then). Actually, Shasta looks just as bad for the timing of his vote, but I can't remember his reasons behind the vote, so I should perhaps check that out later. In any case, they both warrant a reason for me to better look at them come toMorrow.

But I must be going now, so here's my vote:

++Glirdan

I hate making early votes and I still wish I could've actually heard what he may have to say before making this vote, but I won't be back toDay most likely.

His role could go either way, and knowing what it is would clear up some things. Even if he did turn out innocent, his death wouldn't exactly be a devastating blow to the village considering we are ahead in the game lynching a wolf and cobbler in two Days...and not to mention that his death could provide useful clues, whatever his role may be. If we don't lynch him toDay, we'll just be wondering the same things about him come toMorrow. So at this point, unless a more suspicious candidate comes forth, he seems the best choice for toDay.
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Old 04-12-2010, 10:05 AM   #4
Shastanis Althreduin
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Here and reading, with comments to make (especially about my exhausted post from earlier this morning. )
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Old 04-12-2010, 10:40 AM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Morsul
I know this will be an unpopular move however I'm going with my gut on this one.

++Glirdan

It got me one wolf so maybe It'll get me another.
Morsul, I don't particularly care who you vote, but voting this early is harmful to the innocents as a whole (and it's lost you a game before, remember?) You might think about that.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Brinniel
Hmm...this is something to think about. It seems quite possible Glirdan is indeed a wolf, but it's definitely something we can't be certain of.
This quote seems awfully wishy-washy... I generally think Brinn to be more decisive than this.


Okay, after reading through as my much-less-tired self, I still don't like the way Greenie quoted Inzil out-of-context. It seems to me fairly obvious that Inzil thought Glirdan was being contradictory in his post about Nerwen, which is a fair reason for suspicion, so I don't see where the "grasping at straws" fits in. Especially as Inzil looked to be under a bit of suspicion yesterday.


Speaking of throwaway votes (Lommy's #477 talking about Mira is what reminded me) I still don't like Morsul's vote yesterday. It feels like he's established "vote early and be suspicious at all times" as his own playstyle, but at the same time right now it feels like he's hiding behind it a bit.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Greenie
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nienna
Sally keeps avoiding people calling her a wolf. This worries me.
Makes me feel a bit better about Nienna. If I recall correctly, this was in a post of its own – and though not unheard of, bringing up a new point against a fellow in a one-liner post doesn't strike me as wolf-on-wolf suspicion.
This is a game of werewolves. Werewolves lie. A wolf shouldn't have a problem with saying "No, I'm not a wolf" when people say "Hey, you're a wolf". Plus, historically, people who have responded to "Hey I'm a wolf" with "No I'm not what are you talking about" have sometimes been considered "overdefensive".

TLDR; Nienna looks slightly worse to me for this comment and Greenie looks worse for saying it makes Nienna look better.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Nogrod, on Mira's vote for Winty
Now this is an interesting choice. One more "easy lynch" candidate thrown into the lot.
Right, I'm going to take issue with people continuing to call winty an "easy lynch". Firstly, since when is a newbie an "easy lynch"? People are going to look askance at anyone who tries to lynch a newbie early. (That's just how we roll, we're nice like that. ) Secondly, any actual suspicion of winty has been intermittent at best, with plenty of better candidates for lynching. Again, not seeing how that makes winty an "easy lynch". I'm beginning to wonder if saying that isn't just an excuse to suspect whoever votes winty.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV
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Old 04-12-2010, 10:56 AM   #6
skip spence
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Is back for a bit. Will try to have a look at how the Glirdan suspicions arose and why.
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Old 04-12-2010, 11:29 AM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by A Little Green View Post
I'm sorry, I think I missed something. Could you explain what you mean by this?
In brief, Shasta whacked me over the head with a dead fish and told me to stop being silly and look at other people. Now, as I did not suspect him at all (still don't), this would be a silly move for a wolf to make, because I could easily have turned on him for trying to allay suspicion of packmates. As it happens, it was extremely helpful, because I was being rather silly. Anyway, though, my point is that waking up the known innocent from blind suspicion is not a good move for a wolf to make, but it is a good move for an innocent.
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